In: Statistics and Probability
3. Data for magnitude and longitude for a sample of 24 earthquakes are below. The objective is to determine whether the magnitude of an earthquake is associated (predicted) by its longitude coordinates.
|
Longitude |
Magnitude |
|
-118.85 |
2.54 |
|
-122.20 |
2.9 |
|
-119.80 |
2.81 |
|
-104.82 |
3.5 |
|
-115.09 |
3.4 |
|
-97.15 |
3.2 |
|
-122.81 |
2.5 |
|
-121.75 |
2.7 |
|
-114.96 |
3.4 |
|
-115.54 |
3.2 |
|
-70.60 |
3.8 |
|
-113.4 |
2.8 |
|
-117.73 |
2.9 |
|
-117.66 |
2.8 |
|
-115.76 |
2.9 |
|
-116.46 |
2.8 |
|
-115.27 |
2.6 |
|
-115.14 |
2.6 |
|
-115.77 |
3.3 |
|
-121.49 |
3.1 |
|
-104.97 |
2.8 |
|
-121.02 |
2.8 |
|
-115.08 |
3.4 |
|
-122.19 |
2.8 |
3a. Specify the null and alternative hypotheses regarding model fit (1 point)
3b. Calculate the test statistic for model fit (3 points) and state your conclusion using an alpha of 5% (1 point)
Let’s compare the results you calculated for Q3b with results from a multiple linear regression.
4a. Would additionally controlling for ‘depth’ and ‘latitude’ be helpful? In other words, is a model that includes ‘depth’, ‘latitude’ and ‘longitude’ superior in model fit to a model that includes only ‘longitude’? Output for a multiple linear regression which includes longitude, depth, and latitude is provided below. (2 points)
4b. Interpret the parameter estimate for ‘longitude’ from the multiple linear regression output. (1 point)
|
Analysis of Variance |
|||||
|
Source |
DF |
Sum of |
Mean |
F Value |
Pr > F |
|
Model |
3 |
1.07870 |
0.35957 |
4.38 |
0.0159 |
|
Error |
20 |
1.64090 |
0.08204 |
||
|
Corrected Total |
23 |
2.71960 |
|||
|
Root MSE |
0.27953 |
R-Square |
0.3966 |
|
Dependent Mean |
2.98200 |
Adj R-Sq |
0.3104 |
|
Coeff Var |
9.37398 |
|
Parameter Estimates |
|||||
|
Variable |
DF |
Parameter |
Standard |
t Value |
Pr > |t| |
|
Intercept |
1 |
4.86602 |
0.85582 |
5.69 |
<.0001 |
|
Depth |
1 |
0.00131 |
0.01084 |
0.12 |
0.9049 |
|
Latitude |
1 |
0.00564 |
0.01108 |
0.51 |
0.6157 |
|
Longitude |
1 |
0.01849 |
0.00561 |
3.29 |
0.0035 |