In: Finance
You estimated a regression model using annual returns of ExxonMobil (as a dependent variable) and of the market (as an independent variable). The R-squared of this regression is 0.2, and the total variance of ExxonMobil's returns in the estimation window is 0.0625. In this case, the variance of the unsystematic (or idiosyncratic) component of ExxonMobil's returns is:
R-squared = 0.2
Total Variance of ExxonMobil = 0.0625
As Formula of R-squared = Variance explained by Market / Total Variance
We have R-squared and Total Variance, hence, we can find Explained Variance
Putting values in the formula
=> 0.2 = Explained Variance / 0.0625
The Explained Variance is also known as Systematic Variance, since, it is the variance explained by Market index.
=> Systematic variance = 0.2 * 0.0625 = 0.0125
As Total Variance = Systematic Variance + Unsystematic Variance
Therefore, Total Variance = 0.0125 + Unsystematic Variance
We already have Total variance
Hence, 0.0625 = 0.0125 + Unsystematic Variance
Unsystematic Variance = 0.0625 - 0.0125 = 0.05
Hence, Unsystematic Variance is 0.05