In: Statistics and Probability
b) Interpret the coefficients in the estimated regression model of Sales on Csales. c) Before estimating the model, the manager claimed that for every 1 million increase in Csales, Sales go down by 2 million. Is there evidence from the estimated model that she was not correct? Answer by constructing an appropriate 95% confidence interval. d) What is the correlation between Sales and Csales?
Region |
Sales |
Advertising |
Promotions |
Csales |
||
Selkirk |
101.8 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
20.4 |
Csales=main competitor's sales |
|
Susquehanna |
44.4 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
30.5 |
Sales=sales of company's Nature -Bar |
|
Kittery |
108.3 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
24.6 |
||
Acton |
85.1 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
19.6 |
||
Finger Lakes |
77.1 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
25.5 |
||
Berkshires |
158.7 |
1.9 |
0.4 |
21.7 |
||
Central |
180.4 |
1.2 |
1 |
6.8 |
all variables are in millions of dollars |
|
Providence |
64.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
12.6 |
||
Nashua |
74.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
31.3 |
||
Dunster |
143.4 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
18.6 |
||
Endicott |
120.6 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
19.9 |
||
Five-Towns |
69.7 |
1 |
0.3 |
25.6 |
||
Waldeboro |
67.8 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
27.4 |
||
Jackson |
106.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
24.3 |
||
Stowe |
119.6 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
13.7 |
Here I have solved this question by using MINITAB.
(Stat -> Regression-> Response Y -> Predictor X-> OK)
Let , Y – Sales
X - Csales
Correlations: y, x
Pearson correlation of y and x = -0.625
Here Sales and Csales are negatively correlated.
Interpretation of coefficient : For every 1 million increase in csales , sales goes down by 3.54 million.
Regression Analysis: y versus x
The regression equation is y = 178 - 3.54 x
Predictor Coef SE Coef T P
Constant 177.70 27.59 6.44 0.000
x -3.545 1.228 -2.89 0.013
Inverse Cumulative Distribution Function
Student's t distribution with 13 DF
P( X <= x ) x
0.975 2.16037
To check claim of manager :
95 % confidence interval :
(β1 – t((n-2),α/2)*S.E(β1) , β1+ t((n-2),α/2)*S.E(β1))
(-3.545 – t((13),α/2)*1.228 , -3.545+ t((13),α/2)*1.228)
(-3.545 – 2.16037*1.228 , -3.545+ 2.16037*1.228)
(-6.1979 , -0.8921)
Conclusion : β1=0 does not lies in above interval . Hence, manager claim was not correct.