Question

In: Statistics and Probability

In the Clue game, A,B,C,D,E,F have to guess how Mr Bobby was murdered by drawing cards...

In the Clue game, A,B,C,D,E,F have to guess how Mr Bobby was murdered by drawing cards all different. There is 9 "pieces"; 6 "characters"; 6 "weapons".

We randomly draw a card from each pile, then place them in an envelope. The object of the game is to determine which combination of cards is in the envelope. 18 remaining cards are divided equally between the 6 players; each player: 3 cards

Q1. We haven't divided the cards yet.

(a) Suppose A had to guess the crime now. What would be the probability that his choice be the right one?

(b) Suppose A will have to guess the crime immediately after seeing his three cards. What would be the different options and their probability knowing the 18 remaining cards are divided equally between the 6 players.

Q2. We shuffled the cards, we distributed them

(a) What is the probability that A has Miss Scarlett in his game?

(b) What is the probability that Miss Scarlett is the murder knowing that A has not Miss Scarlett in his game?

Solutions

Expert Solution

1 )

a)

The probability of guessing the murder correctly before being given any information (beyond the rules of the game) will be 1/(9*6*6) = 1/324

because we have 3 piles: Pile 1 with 9 cards, pile 2 and pile 3 with 6 cards for each and they are all different.

b)

2)

a)

b)


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