In: Statistics and Probability
Suppose you are interested in finding out how many people in the population have Covid19. How would you attempt to do that? Explain carefully. What are some challenges that you might encounter and how might you overcome them?
Answer:
Technique 1:
Let us explicitly pick any nation to discover what populace is influenced by Covid19. So I will partition the whole zone of country as per thickness of population.
The screening test ought to be led at every single air terminal, stations, stands, and so on to get general Idea about what extent of travelers going from specific city or nation are influenced.
At that point we can follow every single individual with whom positive patient has been in contact for most recent 15 days.
I would then be able to compute mean gauge for every area that I have apportioned. This is one rough technique.
Strategy 2:
Now the instances of covid19 are more in urban areas than country zones.
So we can do the methodical inspecting in country zones where we can choose tests as indicated by some particular example in towns and tests them.
On the off chance that any town has extent bigger than some pre indicated limit, at that point we can lead huge number of tests for that town.
For urban areas, the greater part of the patients would have travel history from different nations so we can screen them at air terminal and lead the tests.
Difficulties Well there may be a few cases which we may not encounter.And on the grounds that this covid spreads by interacting with that individual, the cases may get increment quickly.
So what we can do is to do tests as extensive as conceivable in number just to get reasonable thought regarding the spread of the ailment.
When we have enough examples tried we can say with high probability if a specific locale is under risk zone or not.