Question

In: Statistics and Probability

The mean incubation time for a type of fertilized egg kept at a certain temperature is...

The mean incubation time for a type of fertilized egg kept at a certain temperature is 19 days. Suppose that the incubation times are approximately normally distributed with a standard deviation of 1 day. Complete parts​ (a) through​ (e) below.

(a) Draw a normal model that describes egg incubation times of these fertilized eggs.

(b)Find and interpret the probability that a randomly selected fertilized egg hatches in less than

17 days.

(c) Find and interpret the probability that a randomly selected fertilized egg takes over 21 days to hatch.

(d) Find and interpret the probability that a randomly selected fertilized egg hatches between

15 and 19 days.

(e) Would it be unusual for an egg to hatch in less than 13 days? Why?

Solutions

Expert Solution

mean incubation time for a type of fertilized egg kept at a certain temperature = 19 days

standard deviation incubation time for a type of fertilized egg kept at a certain temperature = 1 day

Let X denotes incubation time for a type of fertilized egg kept at a certain temperature

mean_X = 19

SD_X = 1

a) Normal model = Z = ( X - mean_X )/SD_X

Z = ( X - 19 )/1 = X - 19

b) Probability that a randomly selected fertilized egg hatches in less than 17 days = P[ X < 17 ]

P[ X < 17 ] = P[ ( X - 19 ) < ( 17 - 19 ) ] = P[ Z < -2 ] = 0.0228

Intercept = -2

Probability = 0.028

c) Probability that a randomly selected fertilized egg hatches in more than 21 days = P[ X > 21 ]

P[ X > 21 ] = P[ ( X - 19 ) > ( 21 - 19 ) ] = P[ Z > 2 ] = 0.0228

Intercept = 2

Probability = 0.028

d) Probability that a randomly selected fertilized egg hatches between 15 and 19 days = P[ 15 < X < 19 ]

P[ 15 < X < 19 ] = P[ ( 15 - 19 ) < ( X - 19 ) < ( 19 - 19 ) ] = P[ -4 < Z < 0 ] = 0.5

Intercept = 0

Probability = 0.5

e) For that we need to calculate P[ X < 13 ]

P[ X < 13 ] = P[ ( X - 19 ) < ( 13 - 19 ) ] = P[ Z < -6 ] = 0

Yes, since the probability is zero. Therefore, it will be unusual for an egg to hatch in less than 13 days


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