In: Statistics and Probability
3. Are younger drivers more likely to have accidents in their driveways? Traffic engineers tabulated types of car accidents by drivers of various ages. Out of a total of 82,486 accidents involving drivers aged 15-24 years, 4243 of them occurred in a driveway. Out of a total of 219,170 accidents involving drivers aged 25-64 years, 10,701 of them occurred in a driveway. Use the 0.05 level of significance.
null Hypothesis: Ho: p1-p2 | = | 0.00 | |
alternate Hypothesis: Ha: p1-p2 | > | 0.00 | |
for 0.05 level with right tailed test , critical value of z= | 1.645 | ||
Decision rule : reject Ho if test statistic z > 1.645 | |||
Younger | Older | ||
x1 = | 4243 | x2 = | 10701 |
p̂1=x1/n1 = | 4243/82486 =0.0514 | p̂2=x2/n2 = | 10701/219170 =0.0488 |
n1 = | 82486 | n2 = | 219170 |
estimated prop. diff =p̂1-p̂2 = | 0.0026 | ||
pooled prop p̂ =(x1+x2)/(n1+n2)=(4243+10701)/(82486+219170) = | 0.0495 | ||
std error Se=√(p̂1*(1-p̂1)*(1/n1+1/n2) = | 0.0009 | ||
test stat z=(p̂1-p̂2)/Se =0.0026/0.0009 = | 2.95 |
since test statistic falls in rejection region we reject null hypothesis | |||
we have sufficient evidence to conclude that younger drivers are more likely to have accidents in their driveways |