In: Finance
Caribbean, Inc. is considering a new investment opportunity. The
project requires an initial outlay of $525,000 and is expected to
bring in a $75,000 cash inflow at the end of the first year. After
the first year, annual cash flows from the project are forecasted
to grow at a constant rate of 5% until the end of the fifth year
and to remain constant forever thereafter.
The company currently has a target debt-to-equity ratio of .40, but
the industry that the company operates in has a debt-to-equity
ratio of .25. The industry average beta is 1.2, the market risk
premium is 7%, and the risk-free rate is 5%. Assume that all the
companies in the industry can issue debt at the risk-free rate and
the corporate tax rate is 40%.
Assuming that the project will be financed at Caribbean’s target
debt-to-equity ratio, should the company invest in the project?
1) | The first step is to unlever the industry equity beta. | ||||||
Unlevered beta = Levered beta/[1+(1-t)*D/E] | |||||||
Unlevered beta = 1.2/(1+0.6*0.25) = | 1.04 | ||||||
2) | The second step is to relever the unlevered beta | ||||||
at (1) above to Carribean Inc's target D/E. | |||||||
Levered beta = Unlevered beta*[1+(1-t)*D/E] | |||||||
Levered beta for Carribean = 1.04*(1+0.6*0.4) = | 1.29 | ||||||
3) | Cost of equity for Carribean = 5%+1.29*7% = | 14.03% | |||||
4) | After tax cost of debt = 5%*(1-40%) = | 3.00% | |||||
5) | WACC of Carribean = 14.03%*1/1.4+3.00%*0.4/1.4 = | 10.88% | |||||
6) | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
Cash inflow | $ 75,000 | $ 78,750 | $ 82,688 | $ 86,822 | $ 91,163 | ||
PVIF at 10.88% [PVIF = 1/1.1088^n] | 1 | 0.90188 | 0.81338 | 0.73357 | 0.66159 | 0.59667 | |
PV at 10.88% | $ 67,641 | $ 64,054 | $ 60,657 | $ 57,440 | $ 54,394 | ||
Sum of PV of CF t1 to t5 | $ 3,04,186 | ||||||
Terminal value of FCF = 91163/0.1088 = | $ 8,37,895 | ||||||
PV of terminal value = 837895*0.59667 = | $ 4,99,947 | ||||||
Total PV of cash inflows | $ 8,04,132 | ||||||
Less: Initial outlay | $ 5,25,000 | ||||||
NPV | $ 2,79,132 | ||||||
Decision: | |||||||
As the NPV is positive, the firm can invest in the project. |