In: Finance
4) Given inflation rates of 1% and 3% in Japan and US respectively,
what is the prediction according to RPPP with regards to the yen /$
exchange rate?
5) The Yen /USD spot exchange rate is 100. The current interest rate is
3% in the U.S. and 1% in Japan.
a) Explain the International Fisher Effect (IFE)?
b) What will be the exchange value change of the Japan Yen under
IFE?
Answer to Question No 4 | |||||||
Inflation rate in Japan | 1% | ||||||
Inflation rate in US | 3% | ||||||
1. Since the US Inflation rate is higher than the Japan Inflation rate the Purchasing power of USD | |||||||
shall decrease more as comparing to Japanese Yen. | |||||||
2. Hence the Yen/USD exchange rate shall decrease to knock off any arbitrage gain | |||||||
Answer to Question No 5 | |||||||
a. The theory of "International Fisher Effect" state that changes in anticipated Inflation produce | |||||||
corresponding changes in the rate of interest. And interest rate differences between nations | |||||||
provide an unbiased predictor of future changes in spot exchange rates | |||||||
b. Spot Exchange rate | 100 | Yen/USD | |||||
Interest rate in US | 3% | ||||||
Interest rate in Japan | 1% | ||||||
Under IFE exchange rate would be | = 100*(1.01/1.03) = | 98.05825 | Yen/USD |