In: Statistics and Probability
Bighorn sheep are beautiful wild animals found throughout the western United States. Let x be the age of a bighorn sheep (in years), and let y be the mortality rate (percent that die) for this age group. For example, x = 1, y = 14 means that 14% of the bighorn sheep between 1 and 2 years old died. A random sample of Arizona bighorn sheep gave the following information:
x | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
y | 12.8 | 20.9 | 14.4 | 19.6 | 20.0 |
Σx = 15; Σy = 87.7; Σx2 = 55; Σy2 = 1592.17; Σxy = 276.2
(a) Draw a scatter diagram.
(b) Find the equation of the least-squares line. (Round your
answers to two decimal places.)
ŷ = | + x |
(c) Find r. Find the coefficient of determination
r2. (Round your answers to three decimal
places.)
r = | |
r2 = |
Explain what these measures mean in the context of the problem.
The correlation coefficient r measures the strength of the linear relationship between a bighorn sheep's age and the mortality rate. The coefficient of determination r2 measures the explained variation in mortality rate by the corresponding variation in age of a bighorn sheep.
The coefficient of determination r measures the strength of the linear relationship between a bighorn sheep's age and the mortality rate. The correlation coefficient r2 measures the explained variation in mortality rate by the corresponding variation in age of a bighorn sheep.
Both the correlation coefficient r and coefficient of determination r2 measure the strength of the linear relationship between a bighorn sheep's age and the mortality rate.
The correlation coefficient r2 measures the strength of the linear relationship between a bighorn sheep's age and the mortality rate. The coefficient of determination r measures the explained variation in mortality rate by the corresponding variation in age of a bighorn sheep.
(d) Test the claim that the population correlation coefficient is
positive at the 1% level of significance. (Round your test
statistic to three decimal places.)
t =
Find or estimate the P-value of the test statistic.
P-value > 0.250
0.125 < P-value < 0.250
0.100 < P-value < 0.125
0.075 < P-value < 0.100
0.050 < P-value < 0.075
0.025 < P-value < 0.050
0.010 < P-value < 0.025
0.005 < P-value < 0.010
0.0005 < P-value < 0.005
P-value < 0.0005
Conclusion
Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that ρ > 0.
Reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that ρ > 0.
Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that ρ > 0.
Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that ρ > 0.
(e) Given the result from part (c), is it practical to find
estimates of y for a given x value based on the
least-squares line model? Explain.
Given the lack of significance of r, prediction from the least-squares model might be misleading.
Given the significance of r, prediction from the least-squares model is practical.
Given the significance of r, prediction from the least-squares model might be misleading.
Given the lack of significance of r, prediction from the least-squares model is practical.
from above:
a) scatter diagram is attached above
b)
equation of the least-squares line :y^ =13.61+1.31x
c)r =0.564
r2 =0.318
The correlation coefficient r measures the strength of the linear relationship between a bighorn sheep's age and the mortality rate. The coefficient of determination r2 measures the explained variation in mortality rate by the corresponding variation in age of a bighorn sheep.
d)
t =1.184
0.125 < P-value < 0.250
Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that ρ > 0.
e)
Given the lack of significance of r, prediction from the least-squares model might be misleading.