In: Statistics and Probability
All euros have a national image on the "heads" side and a common design on the "tails" side. Spinning a coin, unlike tossing it, may not give heads and tails with equal probabilities. Polish students spun the Belgian euro 259 times, with its portly king, Albert, displayed on the heads side. The result was 157 heads.
Test the hypothesis that the proportion of times a Belgian Euro
coin spins heads equals 50% at alpha = 0.05 .
The test statistic is z =???
with P-value ??? . (Use three decimals on both.)
Solution :
Given that,
= 0.50
1 - = 0.50
n = 259
x = 157
Level of significance = = 0.05
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 0.606
This a two- tailed test.
The null and alternative hypothesis is,
Ho: p = 0.50
Ha: p 0.50
Test statistics
z = ( - ) / *(1-) / n
= ( 0.606 - 0.50) / (0.50*0.50) / 259
= 3.418
Since it is observed that , it is then concluded that the null hypothesis is rejected.
P-value = 2*P(Z>z)
= 2 * (1 - P(Z <z ))
= 2 * (1- P(Z < 3.418))
= 2*(1 - 0.9997 )
= 0.001
The p-value is p = 0.001, and since p = 0.001 < 0.05, it is concluded that the null hypothesis is rejected.