In: Statistics and Probability
All euros have a national image on the "heads" side and a common design on the "tails" side. Spinning a coin, unlike tossing it, may not give heads and tails with equal probabilities. Polish students spun the Belgian euro 247 times, with its portly king, Albert, displayed on the heads side. The result was 132 heads.
Test the hypothesis that the proportion of times a Belgian Euro
coin spins heads equals 50% at alpha = 0.01 .
The test statistic is z = __ with P-value__ .
(Use three decimals on both.)
The null hypothesis is:
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Solution :
Given that,
= 0.50
1 - = 0.50
n = 247
x = 132
Level of significance = = 0.01
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 0.534
This a two tailed test.
A)
Ho: p = 0.50
Ha: p 0.50
Test statistics
z = ( - ) / *(1-) / n
= ( 0.534 - 0.50) / (0.50*0.50) / 247
= 1.069
P-value = 2* P(Z>z)
= 2*(1 - P(Z <z ))
=2*( 1- P(Z < 1.069))
= 2*(1 - 0.8575)
= 2*0.1425
= 0.285
The p-value is p = 0.285, and since p = 0.285 >0.01, it is concluded that the null hypothesis is not rejected.