In: Statistics and Probability
An news article claims that 62% of people believe in UFOs. A researcher does not believe that this figure is accurate. He surveys 1000 people and finds that 580 of them believe in UFOs. Find the p-value for this hypothesis test. Round your answer to 4 decimal places.
Solution :
Given that,
= 0.62
1 - = 0.38
n = 1000
x = 580
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 0.58
This a two- tailed test.
The null and alternative hypothesis is,
Ho: p = 0.62
Ha: p 0.62
Test statistics
z = ( - ) / *(1-) / n
= ( 0.58 - 0.62) / (0.62*0.38) /1000
= -2.606
P-value = 2 * P(Z < z )
= 2 * P(Z < -2.606 )
= 2 * 0.0046
= 0.0092