In: Statistics and Probability
A researcher claims that more than 55% of adults believe it is very likely that life exists on other planets. In a survey of 1000 adults, 585 say it is very likely that life exists on other planets. At α = 0.05, can you support the researcher’s claim?
Solution:
Here, we have to use one sample z test for the population proportion.
The null and alternative hypotheses for this test are given as below:
Null hypothesis: H0: No more than 55% of adults believe it is very likely that life exists on other planets.
Alternative hypothesis: Ha: more than 55% of adults believe it is very likely that life exists on other planets.
H0: p ≤ 0.55 versus Ha: p > 0.55
This is an upper tailed test.
We are given
Level of significance = α = 0.05
Test statistic formula for this test is given as below:
Z = (p̂ - p)/sqrt(pq/n)
Where, p̂ = Sample proportion, p is population proportion, q = 1 - p, and n is sample size
x = number of items of interest = 585
n = sample size = 1000
p̂ = x/n = 585/1000 = 0.585
p = 0.55
q = 1 - p = 0.45
Z = (p̂ - p)/sqrt(pq/n)
Z = (0.585 – 0.55)/sqrt(0.55*0.45/1000)
Z = 2.2247
Test statistic = 2.2247
P-value = 0.0130
(by using z-table)
P-value < α = 0.05
So, we reject the null hypothesis
There is sufficient evidence to conclude that more than 55% of adults believe it is very likely that life exists on other planets.
We support the researcher’s claim.