In: Statistics and Probability
Owners of Mighty Muscles, Inc., a health club in Hoboken, New Jersey, are trying to increase membership at the club. After reviewing operations at other health clubs in the area, Harry Hunk, the manager at Mighty Muscles, feels that there might be a relationship between the number of members in a health club and several explanatory variables, including (1) monthly dues, (2) local population, and (3) type of weight training equipment in the club. Three kinds of weight machines are commonly found in health clubs: Muscle UP (MU), Iron Man (IM), and Studly Dude (SD). Mr. Hunk collects data for these variables for 20 health clubs similar to Mighty Muscles.
Test whether or not monthly dues are inversely related to the number of members in the club. Use alpha = 0.05.
Analyze the data and determine how well the model fits the data. Interpret your findings and recommend to Harry the policy decisions he should make for the club.
Members | Dues | Pop (000s) | Equip Type |
345 | 22.5 | 39.7 | MU |
387 | 21 | 43.3 | MU |
412 | 20 | 47.7 | MU |
434 | 20 | 48.9 | SD |
467 | 18.5 | 54.5 | SD |
490 | 18 | 55.7 | SD |
612 | 15 | 62.1 | SD |
523 | 17.5 | 56.7 | IM |
545 | 17 | 58.9 | IM |
567 | 16.5 | 60 | IM |
578 | 16 | 61.2 | SD |
599 | 15 | 63.6 | SD |
634 | 14.5 | 60 | IM |
656 | 13 | 61 | SD |
669 | 13.1 | 61.4 | MU |
134 | 30 | 23.5 | MU |
243 | 27 | 27.8 | IM |
259 | 25.5 | 32.1 | IM |
278 | 23 | 37.3 | SD |
321 | 24 | 35.8 | SD |
Solution:
To test whether or not monthly dues are inversely related to the number of members in the club using . We have to calculate the correlation coefficient between these two and test its significance using the following formulas:
And the result is given below:
Correlations |
|||
Members |
Dues |
||
Members |
Pearson Correlation |
1 |
-.990** |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
.000 |
||
Dues |
Pearson Correlation |
-.990** |
1 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
.000 |
||
**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). |
This correlation indicates that there is almost perfect linear association between Members and Dues. Also, the correlation matrix indicates that it is significant at both.
To build the regression model we have used all the predictors available and found that the overall ANOVA is highly significant.
ANOVAa |
||||||
Model |
Sum of Squares |
df |
Mean Square |
F |
Sig. |
|
1 |
Regression |
452315.255 |
3 |
150771.752 |
316.030 |
.000b |
Residual |
7633.295 |
16 |
477.081 |
|||
Total |
459948.550 |
19 |
||||
a. Dependent Variable: Members |
||||||
b. Predictors: (Constant), Dues, Equip_Type, Pop |
The estimated coefficients are tabulated below:
Coefficientsa |
||||||||
Model |
Unstandardized Coefficients |
Standardized Coefficients |
t |
Sig. |
95.0% Confidence Interval for B |
|||
B |
Std. Error |
Beta |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
||||
1 |
(Constant) |
898.399 |
180.085 |
4.989 |
.000 |
516.636 |
1280.161 |
|
Pop |
1.509 |
1.842 |
.124 |
.819 |
.425 |
-2.396 |
5.413 |
|
Equip_Type |
10.700 |
6.924 |
.052 |
1.545 |
.142 |
-3.979 |
25.379 |
|
Dues |
-27.851 |
4.824 |
-.864 |
-5.773 |
.000 |
-38.078 |
-17.624 |
|
a. Dependent Variable: Members |
The predicted model is as below:
Members (y) = ,
where, bi are parameter coefficients and , and
Recommendation:
From this fitted model we can suggest that the Members would be negatively affected by the dues as, if one unit of due is increased, then it would cause a decrease in Members as 27.85 units. So the policy maker has to increase the Population as well as Equipment types.