In: Finance
Zane Perelli currently has
$104104
that he can spend today on socks costing
$ 2.60$2.60
each. Alternatively, he could invest the
$104104
in a risk-free U.S. Treasury security that is expected to earn a
1111%
nominal rate of interest. The consensus forecast of leading economists is a
44%
rate of inflation over the coming year.
a. How many socks can Zane purchase today?
b. How much money will Zane have at the end of 1 year if he forgoes purchasing the socks today and invests his money instead? (Ignore taxes.)
c. How much would you expect the socks to cost at the end of 1 year in light of the expected inflation?
d. Use your findings in parts b and c to determine how many socks (fractions are OK) Zane can purchase at the end of 1 year. In percentage terms, how many more or fewer socks can Zane buy at the end of 1 year?
e. What is Zane's real rate of return over the year? How is it related to the percentage change in Zane's buying power found in part
d? Explain
| a. | |||||||||||
| Number of socks that can be purchased = Amount available/Cost per socks | |||||||||||
| Number of socks that can be purchased = 104/2.60 | |||||||||||
| Number of socks that can be purchased | 40 | socks | |||||||||
| Zane can purchase 40 socks today. | |||||||||||
| b. | |||||||||||
| If zane invests his money is the risk free U.S Treasury security, then zane would receive the interest and principal payment at year end | |||||||||||
| Amount received | (104)*(1.11^1) | ||||||||||
| Amount received | 115.44 | ||||||||||
| Zane would have $115.44 at end of 1 year if he foregoes purchasing the socks today. | |||||||||||
| c | |||||||||||
| The price of socks would increase by 4% which is the inflation rate | |||||||||||
| Price of socks at end of year 1 | 2.60*1.04 | ||||||||||
| Price of socks at end of year 1 | 2.704 | ||||||||||
| d | |||||||||||
| At end of year 1, zane would have $115.44 in hand due to investment is U.S. security and price of stock would be $2.704 | |||||||||||
| Number of socks zane can purchase at year 1 | 115.44/2.704 | ||||||||||
| Number of socks zane can purchase at year 1 | 42.69 | ||||||||||
| Change in purchase of socks | (42.69-40)/40 | ||||||||||
| Change in purchase of socks | 6.73% | ||||||||||
| In percentage terms zane can buy 6.73% higher socks. | |||||||||||
| e. | |||||||||||
| Real rate of return = (1+nominal rate of return)/(1+inflation rate) - 1 | |||||||||||
| Real rate of return = (1.11)/(1.04) - 1 | |||||||||||
| Real rate of return | 6.73% | ||||||||||
| The change in purchase of socks by zane is equal to real rate of return. | |||||||||||
| The change in purchase of socks is equal to real rate of return as at the end of year 1 zane would use the amount received on investment which is based on nominal rate of return. | |||||||||||
| The purchase price considered would after inflation rate and therefore both are equal. | |||||||||||