In: Statistics and Probability
5. According to Health Quality Ontario, the average wait time for first time assessment by a doctor in emergency department of a hospital is 1.6 hours as of February 2020. Source: https://www.hqontario.ca/System-Performance/Time-spent-in-emergency-departments. Assume that the emergency waiting times may be modelled by a normal distribution is applicable with a mean of 96 minutes and a standard deviation of 15 minutes.
5.1 The probability that a randomly selected emergency department patient will wait between 90 minutes and 105 minutes before first assessment by a doctor equals:
Calculator function(s):
____________________________________________ Answer: __________ (4 decimal pl)
5.2 The probability that a randomly selected emergency department patient will wait more than 110 minutes equals:
Calculator function(s):
____________________________________________ Answer: __________ (4 decimal pl)
5.3 The waiting time exceeded by only 10% of emergency department patients equals:
Calculator function(s):
_______________________________________ Answer: ____________ (nearest minute)
5.4 For a random sample of 25 emergency department patients what is the probability that the average waiting time will be between 88 minutes and 95 minutes:
Calculator function(s):
____________________________________________ Answer: __________ (4 decimal pl)
Given:
= 96, = 15
a)
Find: P(90 < X < 105)
P(90 < X < 105) = P(-0.40 < Z < 0.60)
P(90 < X < 105) = P(Z < 0.60) - P(Z < -0.40)
P(90 < X < 105) = 0.7257 - 0.3446 ..............Using standard Normal table
P(90 < X < 105) = 0.3812
5.2) Find: P(X > 110)
P(X > 110) = P(Z > 0.93)
P(X > 110) = 1 - P(Z < 0.93)
P(X > 110) = 1 - 0.8247 ..............Using standard Normal table
P(X > 110) = 0.1753
C) More than 10%
Find: 10th percentile
X = + *Z0.10
Where,
Z0.10 = -1.28 . ..............Using standard Normal table
Therefore,
X = + *Z0.10
X = 96 + 15*-1.28
X = 76.78 = 77 minutes
5.4)
. ..............Using standard Normal table