In: Statistics and Probability
In May 2008, CNN reported that sports utility vehicles (SUVs) are plunging toward the “endangered” list. Due to soaring oil prices and environmental concerns, consumers are replacing gas-guzzling vehicles with fuel-efficient smaller cars. As a result, there has been a big drop in the demand for new as well as used SUVs. A sales manager of a used car dealership believes that it takes 30 days longer to sell an SUV as compared to a small car. In the last two months, he sold 18 SUVs that took an average of 95 days to sell with a standard deviation of 32 days. He also sold 38 small cars with an average of 48 days to sell and a standard deviation of 24 days. (Assumption: the populations are normally distributed and that the variability of selling time for the SUVs and the small cars is the same.) Use a 5% level of significance.
Select one:
a. Ho: µSUV - µCAR = 30 Ha: µSUV - µCAR ≠ 30 We would reject Ho is the calculated test statistic is above +1.96 or below -1.96. The test statistic is 2.003 with a p-value of 0.0456. As a result we would reject Ho and say that the difference is not 30 days and most likely more.
b. Ho: µSUV - µCAR = 30 Ha: µSUV - µCAR ≠ 30 We would reject Ho is the calculated test statistic is above +1.96 or below -1.96. The test statistic is 2.003 with a p-value of 0.0228. As a result we would reject Ho and say that the difference is not 30 days and most likely more.
c. Ho: µSUV - µCAR = 30 Ha: µSUV - µCAR ≠ 30 We would reject Ho is the calculated test statistic is above +2.005 or below -2.005. The test statistic is 2.027. As a result we would reject Ho and say that the difference is not 30 days and most likely more.
d. Ho: µSUV - µCAR = 0 Ha: µSUV - µCAR ≠ 0 We would reject Ho is the calculated test statistic is above +2.005 or below -2.005. The test statistic is 5.6036. As a result we would reject Ho and say that the difference is not 30 days and most likely more.
Null and Alternative hypothesis:
Ho : µ1 - µ2 = 30
H1 : µ1 - µ2 ≠ 30
Test statistic:
z = (x̅1 - x̅2 - (µ1 - µ2))/√(s1²/n1 + s2²/n2 ) = (95 - 48 - 30)/√(32²/18 + 24²/38) = 2.003
p-value :
p-value = 2*(1-NORM.S.DIST(ABS(2.003, 1) = 0.0456
Critical value :
Two tailed critical value, z crit = ABS(NORM.S.INV(0.05/2)) = 1.960
Reject Ho if z < -1.96 or if z > 1.96
Answer: a)
a. Ho: µSUV - µCAR = 30 Ha: µSUV - µCAR ≠ 30 We would reject Ho is the calculated test statistic is above +1.96 or below -1.96. The test statistic is 2.003 with a p-value of 0.0456. As a result we would reject Ho and say that the difference is not 30 days and most likely more.