In: Statistics and Probability
An analyst for BC Transit believes that 10% of busses run behind schedule; however, he wishes to confirm his beliefs by constructing an interval estimate for the proportion of all buses that run behind schedule. He desires a 90% level of confidence and is willing to accept no more than a 3 percentage-point margin of error. [Show ALL your work. No marks will be awarded without supporting calculations]
Solution :
Given that,
= 0.10
1 - = 1 - 0.10 = 0.90
margin of error = E = 3% = 0.03
At 90% confidence level
= 1 - 90%
= 1 - 0.90 =0.10
/2
= 0.05
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645 ( Using z table )
Sample size = n = (Z/2 / E)2 * * (1 - )
= (1.645 / 0.03)2 * 0.10 * 0.90
=270.60
Sample size = 271