In: Finance
MetLife, Inc. stock is currently trading at $50 per share. The price of MetLife stock can either increase by 20% or decrease by 20% each year. The probability of an increase is equal to the probability of a decrease (pu=pd= 0.5). The risk-free rate of return is 10% per year. What is the current equilibrium price (premium) of a 1-year European call option on MetLife with a strike price of $50?
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Answer:
Sl.No. |
Particulars |
Notation |
Value |
1 |
Spot Price |
SP0 |
$ 50.00 |
2 |
Strike Price |
EP |
$ 50.00 |
3 |
Expected future Spot price – Lower Limit - FP1 = ( $ 50 * ( 1 - 0.20 ) ) = ( $ 50 * 0.80 ) = $ 40 |
FP1 |
$ 40.00 |
4 |
Expected future Spot price – Lower Limit - FP1 = ( $ 50 * ( 1 + 0.20 ) ) = ( $ 50 * 1.20 ) = $ 60 |
FP2 |
$ 60.00 |
5 |
Value of call at lower limit [ Action = Lapse, Since FP1 < EP. Therefore value = Nil ] |
Cd |
NIL |
6 |
Value of call at upper limit [ Action = Exercise, Since FP2 > EP. Therefore value = ( $ 60.00 - $ 50.00 = $ 10.00 ) ] |
Cu |
$ 10.00 |
7 |
Weight for the lower scenario [FP1 / SP0 ] = ( 40 / 50 ) = |
D |
0.80 |
8 |
Weight for the upper scenario [FP2 / SP0 ] = ( 60 / 50 ) = |
U |
1.20 |
9 |
Risk free rate of Return |
R |
0.10 |
10 |
Duration of the call |
T |
1 Year |
11 |
Future value factor (Continuous Compounding factor) = er * t = e0.10 * 1 = e0.10 = 1.1052 ( Value taken from e tables) |
F |
1.1052 |