In: Statistics and Probability
Use a normal approximation to find the probability of the indicated number of voters. In this case, assume that 144eligible voters aged 18-24 are randomly selected. Suppose a previous study showed that among eligible voters aged 18-24, 22% of them voted.
Probability that fewer than 34 voted
The probability that fewer than 34 of 144 eligible voters voted is?
Result:
Use a normal approximation to find the probability of the indicated number of voters. In this case, assume that 144eligible voters aged 18-24 are randomly selected. Suppose a previous study showed that among eligible voters aged 18-24, 22% of them voted.
Probability that fewer than 34 voted
The probability that fewer than 34 of 144 eligible voters voted is?
n=144 and p=0.22
Expectation = np = 31.68
Variance = np(1 - p) = 24.7104
Standard deviation = 4.9710
Using normal approximation with continuity correction, z value for 34,
Z = (33.5-31.68)/4.9710 =0.37
P( x < 34) = P( z < 0.37)
=0.6443
Excel function to get probability: =NORM.S.DIST(0.37,TRUE)