In: Finance
FIN 370 AOL ASSIGNMENT
CASE ANALYSIS: The Case of the Junior Analyst
Name:_______________________
Colin was recently hired by Coleman Electronics as a junior budget analyst. He is working for the Venture Capital Division and has been given for capital budgeting projects to evaluate. He must give his analysis and recommendation to the capital budgeting committee.
Colin has a B.S. in accounting from CWU (2015) and passed the CPA exam (2017). He has been in public accounting for several years. During that time he earned an MBA from Seattle U. He would like to be the CFO of a company someday--maybe Coleman Electronics-- and this is an opportunity to get onto that career track and to prove his ability.
As Colin looks over the financial data collected, he is trying to make sense of it all. He already has the most difficult part of the analysis complete -- the estimation of cash flows. Through some internet research and application of finance theory, he has also determined the firm’s beta.
Here is the information that Colin has accumulated so far:
The Capital Budgeting Projects
He must choose one of the four capital budgeting projects listed below:
Table 1
t |
A |
B |
C |
D |
0 |
(19,000,000) |
(20,000,000) |
(14,000,000) |
(18,000,000) |
1 |
8,000,000 |
11,000,000 |
5,700,000 |
3,600,000 |
2 |
8,000,000 |
10,000,000 |
5,700,000 |
7,600,000 |
3 |
8,000,000 |
8,000,000 |
5,700,000 |
5,600,000 |
4 |
8,000,000 |
4,000,000 |
5,700,000 |
5,600,000 |
Risk |
Average |
High |
Low |
Average |
Table 1 shows the expected after-tax operating cash flows for each project. All projects are expected to have a 4 year life. The projects differ in size (the cost of the initial investment), and their cash flow patterns are different. They also differ in risk as indicated in the above table.
The capital budget is $20 million and the projects are mutually exclusive.
Capital Structures
Coleman Electronics has the following capital structure, which is considered to be optimal:
Debt |
50% |
Preferred Equity |
10% |
Common Equity |
40% |
100% |
Cost of Capital
Colin knows that in order to evaluate the projects he will have to determine the cost of capital for each of them. He has been given the following data, which he believes will be relevant to his task.
(1)The firm’s tax rate is 35%.
(2) Coleman Electronics has issued a 10% semi-annual coupon bond with 8 years term to maturity. The current trading price is $990.
(3) The firm has issued some preferred stock which pays an annual 10% dividend of $100 par value, and the current market price is $105.
(4) The firm’s stock is currently selling for $36 per share. Its last dividend (D0) was $3, and dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate of 6%. The current risk free return offered by Treasury security is 2.5%, and the market portfolio’s return is 12%. Coleman Electronics has a beta of 1.2. For the bond-yield-plus-risk-premium approach, the firm uses a risk premium of 3%.
(5) The firm adjusts its project WACC for risk by adding 1.5% to the overall WACC for high-risk projects and subtracting 1.5% for low-risk projects.
Colin knows that Coleman Electronics executives have favored IRR in the past for making their capital budgeting decisions. His professor at Seattle U. said NPV was better than IRR. His textbook says that MIRR is also better than IRR. He is the new kid on the block and must be prepared to defend his recommendations.
First, however, Colin must finish the analysis and write his report. To help begin, he has formulated the following questions:
(1) What is the estimated cost of common equity using the CAPM approach?
(2) What is the estimated cost of common equity using the DCF approach?
(3) What is the estimated cost of common equity using the bond-yield-plus-risk-premium approach?
(4) What is the final estimate for rs?
Table 2
A |
B |
C |
D |
|
WACC |
||||
NPV |
||||
IRR |
||||
MIRR |
Instructions
1.Your answers should be Word processed, submitted via Canvas.
2.Questions 5, 8, 9, and 11 are discussion questions.
3.Place your numerical solutions in Table 2.
4.Show your steps for calculation questions.
1.Firm’s after-tax cost of debt |
We find this using the formula to find the PV (given -$ 990)of a bond 8*2=16 nos. , $ 1000*10%=100 semi-annual coupons still to maturity |
PV=(Coupon*(1-(1+r)^-n)/r)+(Face value/(1+r)^n) |
Filling up the values, |
990=(100*(1-(1+r)^-16)/r)+(1000/(1+r)^16) |
Solving for r, we get the before-tax yield, r= |
10.1288% |
So, after-tax cost of the bond=Before-tax cost*(1-Tax Rate) |
ie.10.1288%*(1-35%)= |
6.58% |
2.Cost of preferred stock for Coleman Electronics |
K(PS)=Annual $ dividend/Current market price |
ie.(10%*100)/105= |
9.52% |
Cost of common equity |
1.Estimated cost of common equity using the CAPM approach |
Ke=RFR+(Beta*Mkt.risk premium) |
ie.Ke=RFR+(Beta*(MktReturn-RFR) |
ie.Ke=2.5%+(1.2*(12%-2.5%) |
13.9% |
(2)Estimated cost of common equity using the DCF approach |
Ke=(Next Dividend/Current market price)+Growth rate |
ie. Ke=((3*(1+0.06))/36)+0.06= |
14.83% |
3)Estimated cost of common equity using the bond-yield-plus-risk-premium approach |
Ke=After-tax bond cost/yield+Risk premium |
ie.6.58%+3%= |
9.58% |
(4)Final estimate for Ke/ rs |
is the average of the above 3 estimates-- |
Ke=(13.9%+14.83%+9.58%)/3= |
12.77% |
Coleman Electronics’s overall WACC |
Overall WACC=(Wt.d*Kd)+(Wt.PS*K PS)+(Wt. e*Ke) |
ie. Ke=(50%*6.58%)+(10%*9.52%)+(40%*12.77%) |
9.35% |
Use of single overall WACC as the hurdle rate for each of its projects |
is not justifiable as |
the WACC or the discount rate to discount the cash flows involved, should be higher for the high-risk project and |
can be a lower rate for a project carrying comparatively low risk , |
same as WACC for an average risk one. |
WACC for each project | ||||
Project | A | B | C | D |
Risk | Average | High | Low | Average |
WACC | 9.35% | 10.85%(9.35%+1.5%) |
7.85% (9.35%-1.5%) |
9.35% |
Table 1 | ||||
t | A | B | C | D |
0 | -19000000 | -20000000 | -14000000 | -18000000 |
1 | 8000000 | 11000000 | 5700000 | 3600000 |
2 | 8000000 | 10000000 | 5700000 | 7600000 |
3 | 8000000 | 8000000 | 5700000 | 5600000 |
4 | 8000000 | 4000000 | 5700000 | 5600000 |
WACC | 9.35% | 10.85% | 7.85% | 9.35% |
(As per Excel) functions | ||||
IRR | 25% | 28% | 23% | 9% |
NPV | 6719893 | 6584049 | 4879123 | -152463 |
MIRR | 18% | 19% | 16% | 9% |
Ranking as per | ||||
IRR | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
NPV | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
MIRR | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Underlying cause of ranking conflicts |
is the timing & magnitude of cash flows is different in different projects. |
NPV criterion is the best one as |
it considers all the cash flows(both inflows & outflows) over the entire life of the project. |
considers time value of money |
maximises value for the shareholders , when selected based on this criterion. |
Projects unacceptable |
B,C, D are unaccepatable |
as they are ranked only after A in NPV & |
It maximises value for the available $ 20000000 with Colin |
Colin should choose Project A for its highest NPV |
B is rejected for high-risk & ranking second in NPV |
C is rejected as even at 8% discount rate, NPV is less. |
D is rejected as IRR< WACC & NPV is NEGATIVE. |