In: Finance
I)
Initial Investment Outlay:
Dunder Mifflin is considering opening a Philadelphia branch for the next five years to augment
its existing facilities in Scranton, PA. After five years, they will close the Philadelphia branch
and seek regional alternatives.
A financial analyst has estimated the following costs:
A) $100,000 market analysis (already conducted)
B) $1,000,000 purchase of distribution center
C) $250,000 fixtures and installation of equipment
II)
Changes in Net Working Capital
The managers of the Scranton branch estimated that the new branch will have the following
working capital requirements:
A) $10,000 in initial cash buffers
B) $25,000 in initial inventories
III)
Operating Cash Flows
Financial analysts have estimated the following for the Philadelphia branch:
A) The annual sales are estimated to be:
Year 1 # of reams: 200,000 price per ream: $4
Year 2 # of reams: 200,000 price per ream: $4.50
Year 3 # of reams: 200,000 price per ream: $5
Year 4 # of reams: 250,000 price per ream: $5.50
Year 5 # of reams: 300,000 price per ream: $6
B) Variable costs of $2.50 per ream
C) Fixed overhead costs of $75,000 to pay employee salaries and utilities
The managers have decided that the new equipment (being largely industrial) should be
depreciated according to the 7-year MACRS schedule. Assume taxes are 34%.
7-year
MACRs
Year 1 Depr%: 14.29
Year 2 Depr%: 24.49
Year 3 Depr%: 17.49
Year 4 Depr%: 12.49
Year 5 Depr%: 8.93
Year 6 Depr%: 8.93
Year 7 Depr%: 8.93
Year 8 Depr%: 4.45
IV)
Terminal Cash Flows
Financial analysts have estimated that the Philadelphia branch can be sold at the conclusion of
the five-year project for $500,000.
Based on this information, answer the following questions:
1) Should Dunder Mifflin go through with the expansion to Philadelphia if the relevant
discount rate is 10%?
2) What is the NPV of the expansion project? IRR?
3) What is the Payback of the expansion project? If the required payback is 4 years, what is
the decision on this project?
4) At what rate would they be indifferent to undertaking the project?
1. $100,000 market analysis (already conducted) - this cost since already incurred (sunk cost) is not relevant for the analysis
2. Purchase of distribution center = $1,000,000 in year 0
3. Fixtures and installation of equipment = $250,000 in year 0
4. Depreciation on Fixture and installation:
Years | Depreciation rate | Depreciation value ($250,000* depreciation rate) | Book value at the end of year | Workings for Book value at the end of year | Tax shield on depreciation at 34% (Depreciation value * 34%) |
1 | 14.29% | 35,725 | 214,275 | (250,000-35,725) | 12,147 |
2 | 24.49% | 61,225 | 153,050 | (214,275-61,225) | 20,817 |
3 | 17.49% | 43,725 | 109,325 | (153,050-43,725) | 14,867 |
4 | 12.49% | 31,225 | 78,100 | (109,325-31,225) | 10,617 |
5 | 8.93% | 22,325 | 55,775 | (78,100-22,325) | 7,591 |
6 | 8.93% | 22,325 | 33,450 | (55,775-22,325) | 7,591 |
7 | 8.93% | 22,325 | 11,125 | (33,450-22,325) | 7,591 |
8 | 4.45% | 11,125 | - | (11,125-11,125) | 3,783 |
250,000 |
5. Terminal cash-flows (Salvage Value ) = $500,000
Book-value of equipment at the end of 5th year (as per above table) = 55,775
Profit on sale = $500,000-$55,775 = $444,225
Tax at 34% on profit on sale = $444,225*34% = $151,037
Net Terminal cash flow = Sale Value - Tax on profit on sale = $500,000-$151,037 = $348,964 in year 5
6. Working capital required:
Initial cash buffers = $10,000
Initial inventories = $25,000
Total working capital required = $10,000+$25,000 = $35,000 in year 0
Since after five years, they will close the Philadelphia branch and seek regional alternatives., we assume that the working capital will be recovered at the end of 5 years.
Working capital recovery = $35,000 in year 5
7. Operating cash flows:
Years | Sales (units) (A) | Selling Price per unit (B) | Sales Value (C) = (A)*(B) | Variable cost per unit (D) | Variable cost (E) = (A)*(D) | Fixed Cost (F) | Operating Cash-flow (before tax) (G) = (C) -(E) - (F) |
1 | 200,000 | $4.0 | $800,000 | $2.5 | $500,000 | $75,000 | $225,000 |
2 | 200,000 | $4.5 | $900,000 | $2.5 | $500,000 | $75,000 | $325,000 |
3 | 200,000 | $5.0 | $1,000,000 | $2.5 | $500,000 | $75,000 | $425,000 |
4 | 250,000 | $5.5 | $1,375,000 | $2.5 | $625,000 | $75,000 | $675,000 |
5 | 300,000 | $6.0 | $1,800,000 | $2.5 | $750,000 | $75,000 | $975,000 |
8. Net Annual cash-flows = Operating Cash-flow (before tax) - Taxes on operating cash flow + Tax shield on depreciation
Years | Operating Cash-flow (before tax) (as per (7) above) (A) | Tax on operating cash flow (B) = (A)* 34%) | Operating Cash-flow (after tax) (C) = (A)-(B) | Tax shield on depreciation at 34% (as per (4) above) (D) | Net Annual cash-flows (C) + (D) |
1 | $225,000 | $76,500 | $148,500 | 12,147 | $160,647 |
2 | $325,000 | $110,500 | $214,500 | 20,817 | $235,317 |
3 | $425,000 | $144,500 | $280,500 | 14,867 | $295,367 |
4 | $675,000 | $229,500 | $445,500 | 10,617 | $456,117 |
5 | $975,000 | $331,500 | $643,500 | 7,591 | $651,091 |
6 | 7,591 | $7,591 | |||
7 | 7,591 | $7,591 | |||
8 | 3,783 | $3,783 |
9. Discount factor at 10%
Year 1 = 1/(100%+10%)^1 = 0.9091
Year 2 = 1/(100%+10%)^2 = 0.8264
Year 3 = 1/(100%+10%)^3 = 0.7513
Year 4 = 1/(100%+10%)^4 = 0.6830
Year 5 = 1/(100%+10%)^5 = 0.6209
Year 6 = 1/(100%+10%)^6 = 0.5645
Year 7 = 1/(100%+10%)^7 = 0.5132
Year 8 = 1/(100%+10%)^8 = 0.4665
Computation of Net Present Value
Years | Initial investment | Fixtures and installation of equipment | Working capital | Net Annual cash-flows | Terminal Value | Net Cash-flows | Discount factor at 10% | Present Value |
Working Steps | Refer (2) above | Refer (3) above | Refer (6) above | Refer (8) above | Refer (5) above | (8)+(5)-(2)-(3)-(6) | Refer (9) above | (Net cash flows * discount factor at 10%) |
0 | (1,000,000) | (250,000) | (35,000) | (1,285,000) | 1.0000 | (1,285,000) | ||
1 | 160,647 | 160,647 | 0.9091 | 146,042 | ||||
2 | 235,317 | 235,317 | 0.8264 | 194,476 | ||||
3 | 295,367 | 295,367 | 0.7513 | 221,913 | ||||
4 | 456,117 | 456,117 | 0.6830 | 311,534 | ||||
5 | 35,000 | 651,091 | 348,964 | 1,035,054 | 0.6209 | 642,687 | ||
6 | 7,591 | 7,591 | 0.5645 | 4,285 | ||||
7 | 7,591 | 7,591 | 0.5132 | 3,895 | ||||
8 | 3,783 | 3,783 | 0.4665 | 1,765 | ||||
Total | 241,597 |
Thus, NPV = $241,597 (sum of Present Value of all years)
IRR = IRR is the rate at which NPV becomes zero.
IRR can be computed using 'Goal Seek' Function in excel --->Go to 'Data' -->'What-if Analysis'-->'Goal Seek'-->'Set cell' as select the cell where NPV of $241,597 is computed -->'To value', type 0, --> 'By Changing cell' , select the cell where discount factor of 10% is keyed ( in excel, have a cell with value as '10%' and compute discount factor every year using that cell and give that 10% cell reference for 'By changing cell').
With the above method, IRR is 15.23%
Pay-back period: Pay-back is period by which an investment recovers its initial investment
Years | Present Value | Cumulative of Present Value | Cumulative of Present Value workings |
0 | (1,285,000) |
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