In: Finance
A proposal to build a $187 million factory is being contemplated to produce a new product. The factory is expected to last 20 years (but can be depreciated immediately according to current accounting rules). The factory is expected to produce 8000 units per year that are expected to be sold for a price of $26,000 each. Variable costs (production labor, raw materials, marketing, distribtuion, etc.) are expected to be $17,000 per unit. Fixed costs (administration, maintenance, repairs, utliities, insurance, real estate taxes, etc.) are expected to be $16 million per year. The tax rate is 21%. The project will require $24 million in inventory (raw materials and finished products) as well as $42 million in receivables (credit for customers). An extra $11 million in cash is required as a safety stock to provide financial flexibility (that enables avoiding running out of cash in case of temporary declines in demand). Suppliers (companies which sell the parts and raw materials that are used in the production of the 8000 units produced by the factory) are expected to provide short-term trade credit that is expected to sum to $17 million in accounts payable
COST OF EQUITY IS 4.668%
Compute the NPV if prices and all costs were expected to rise by 2% per year due to expected inflation
t0 t1
t2 t3 t4 t5
t6 t7 t8 t9
t10 t11 t12 t13
t14 t15 t16 t17
t18 t19 t20
000' 000' 000'
000' 000' 000' 000'
000' 000' 000' 000'
000' 000' 000' 000'
000' 000' 000' 000'
000' 000'
sales
212160 216403.2 220731.264
225145.8893 229648.8071
234241.7832 238926.6189
243705.1512 248579.2543
253550.8394 258621.8561
263794.2933 269070.1791
274451.5827 279940.6144
285539.4267 291250.2152
297075.2195 303016.7239 309077.0584
variable cost
-138720 -141494.4 -146886.1983
-147210.7738 -150154.9892
-153158.089 -156221.2508
-159345.6758 -162532.5893
-165783.2411 -169098.9059
-172480.8841 -175930.5017
-179449.1118 -183038.094
-186698.8559 -190432.833
-194241.4897 -198126.3195
-202088.8459
fixed cost
-16320 -16646.4 -16979.328
-17318.91456 -17665.29285
-18018.59871 -18378.97068
-18746.5501 -19121.4811
-19503.91072 -19893.98893
-20291.86871 -20697.70609
-21111.66021 -21533.89341
-21964.57128 -22403.86271
-22851.93996 -23308.97876
-23775.15834
cash flow before tax
57120 58262.4
56865.73766 60616.20096
61828.52498 63065.09548
64326.39739 65612.92534
66925.18384 68263.68752
69628.96127 71021.5405
72441.97131 73890.81073
75368.62695 76875.99949
78413.51947 79981.78986
81581.42566 83213.05417
taxation -11995.2
-12235.104 -11941.80491
-12729.4022 -12983.99025
-13243.67005 -13508.54345
-13778.71432 -14054.28861
-14335.37438 -14622.08187
-14914.5235 -15212.81397
-15517.07025 -15827.41166
-16143.95989 -16466.83909
-16796.17587 -17132.09939
-17474.74138
tax allowable depreciation
1963.5 1963.5
1963.5 1963.5 1963.5
1963.5 1963.5 1963.5
1963.5 1963.5 1963.5
1963.5 1963.5 1963.5
1963.5 1963.5 1963.5
1963.5 1963.5 1963.5
cash flow after tax
47088.3 47990.796
46887.43275 49850.29876
50808.03473 51784.92543
52781.35394 53797.71102
54834.39524 55891.81314
56970.3794 58070.51699
59192.65733 60337.24048
61504.71529 62695.53959
63910.18039 65149.11399
66412.82627 67701.8128
intial investment -247000
working capital -60000
60000
net cash flow -307000
47088.3 47990.796 46887.43275
49850.29876 50808.03473
51784.92543 52781.35394
53797.71102 54834.39524
55891.81314 56970.3794
58070.51699 59192.65733
60337.24048 61504.71529
62695.53959 63910.18039
65149.11399 66412.82627 127701.8128
discount rate @4.668% 1
0.955401842 0.91279268
0.872083808 0.833190476
0.796031716 0.760530167
0.726611923 0.69420637
0.663246044 0.633666492
0.605406134 0.578406136
0.552610287 0.527964886
0.504418625 0.481922484
0.460429628 0.439895315
0.420276794 0.401533224
present value -307000
44988.24856 43805.64728
40889.77088 41534.79416
40444.80706 39383.99801
38351.56108 37346.71365
36368.69573 35416.76918
34490.21715 33588.34333
32710.47138 31855.94432
31024.12392 30214.39015
29426.14061 28658.79003
27911.76973 51276.52054
present value t1-t20 729687.7168
present value t0 -307000
NPV 422687.7168
wn 1 1 2 3
4 5 6 7
8 9 10 11
12 13 14 15
16 17 18 19
20
000' 000' 000'
000' 000' 000' 000'
000' 000' 000' 000'
000' 000' 000' 000'
000' 000' 000' 000'
000'
depreciation 9350 9350
9350 9350 9350 9350
9350 9350 9350 9350
9350 9350 9350 9350
9350 9350 9350 9350
9350 9350