In: Statistics and Probability
Case Study 8.1
In February 2017 the price of a daily pass to drive on a Volusia County beach was $10, and at that price 26,467 daily passes were sold. In February 2018 the price of a daily pass rose to $20, and at that price the number of daily passes sold dropped to 17,994.
Case Study 8.2
Demand for tickets to a theme park, based on average daily attendance, is given by Dp=-7.7p2+495.8p+20,000, where p is the daily admission price. The current admission price is $75, but the park is considering raising the price to $80.
Question (a)
Let the number of daily passed sold be "n"
Price of each pass be "p"
For Febraruary 2017
nf2017 = 26467
pf2017 = $10
For Febraruary 2018
nf2018 = 17994
pf2018 = $20
Elasiticity of demand = % change in number of passes sold / % change in price of passes
% chage in number of passes sold = (17994 - 26467) * 100 / 26467
= -32.01%
% chage in price of passes sold = (20 - 10) * 100 / 10
= 100%
So Elasticity of Demand = -32.01% / 100%
= -0.32 which implies we have a negative price elasticity of 0.32
The elasiticity of demand is said to be elastic whe the elasticity of demand value is 1 or it is inelastic if it is <1
Here the elasticity of demand is 0.32
So the demand is inelastic
In the context of the proble, though the price was increased by 100% from 10 to 20, the number of passed sold has not increased by 100%. So the demand has not decreased as much as the price is increased
Revenue is number of passed sold * price of each pass
For Feb 2017, the revenue is 264670 and for Feb 2018 the revenue is 359880 which implies that the revenue is increasing
Question (b)
Yes they can consider an increase in price to $30 because as we seen in the previous question though the price has increased by 100% the demand is not decreasing by only 32% approximately resulting in an 0.32 value for elasticity of demand which implies in increase of revenue
Question (c)
Given Demand = -7.7 * P2 + 495. 8 * P + 20000
for P= 75, Demand is -7.7 * 752 + 495.8 * 75 + 20000
= 13872.5
for P = 80, Demand is -7.7 * 802 + 495.8 * 80 + 20000
= 10384
% change in Demand = (10384 - 13872.5) * 100 / 13872.5
= -25.18%
% change in Price = (80 - 75) * 100 / 75
= 6.67%
Elasiticity of demand = -25.18% / 6.67% = -3.772 implies negative elasticity of demand of 3.77
since the elasticity of demand is 1, the demand is elastic
The Price should not be increased since the demand is decreasing by more % than the increase in % price which implies the revenue will decrease
Revenue at $75 price = 75 * 13872.5 = 1040438
Revenue at $80 price = 80 * 10384 = 830720
The revenue is Demand * price
So revenue is
R = (-7.7 * P2 + 495. 8 * P + 20000 ) * P
= -7.7 * P3 + 495. 8 * P2 + 20000P
We need to differentiate the equation with P and then solve that differentiated equation to arrive at the price which gives maximm revenue
Differentiating R = -7.7 * P3 + 495. 8 * P2 + 20000P with P we get
0 = - 23.1P2 + 991.6 P + 20000
We need to solve this quadratic equation
For the equation of the form ax2 + bx + c = 0, the roots are
x = (-b +- b2 - 4ac) / 2a
Here a = -23.1 , b = 991.6, c= 20000
So P values are (- 991.6 +- 991.62 - 4*(-23.1) * 20000) / 2a
= (-991.6 +- 1682.638) / -46.1
= (-991.6 + 1682.638) / -46.1 or (-991.6 - 1682.638) / -46.1
= -14.9575 or 57.88394
Since the price cannot be negative the price at which the revenue will be maximum is $57.88394