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In: Statistics and Probability

Describe an application of multiple regression analysis that is specific to your industry or to your...

Describe an application of multiple regression analysis that is specific to your industry or to your academic interests(Data Science). Explain why this technique is suitable in terms of measurement scale of variables and their roles.

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Expert Solution

def:

multivariate regression is a technique that estimates a single regression model with more than one outcome variable. When there is more than one predictor variable in a multivariate regression model, the model is a multivariate multiple regression.

or

Multivariate Regression is a method used to measure the degree at which more than one independent variable (predictors) and more than one dependent variable (responses), are linearly related. . A mathematical model, based on multivariate regression analysis will address this and other more complicated questions.

Why do we use Regression Analysis?

As mentioned above, regression analysis estimates the relationship between two or more variables. Let’s understand this with an easy example:

Let’s say, you want to estimate growth in sales of a company based on current economic conditions. You have the recent company data which indicates that the growth in sales is around two and a half times the growth in the economy. Using this insight, we can predict future sales of the company based on current & past information.

There are multiple benefits of using regression analysis. They are as follows:

  1. It indicates the significant relationships between dependent variable and independent variable.
  2. It indicates the strength of impact of multiple independent variables on a dependent variable.

Regression analysis also allows us to compare the effects of variables measured on different scales, such as the effect of price changes and the number of promotional activities. These benefits help market researchers / data analysts / data scientists to eliminate and evaluate the best set of variables to be used for building predictive models.

simple example. Suppose you have a lemonade business. A simple linear regression could mean you finding a relationship between the revenue and temperature, with revenue as the dependent variable. In case of multiple variable regression, you can find the relationship between temperature, pricing and number of workers to the revenue. Thus, regression analysis can analyze the impact of varied factors on business sales and profits

deeply you can read:

1. Predictive Analytics:

Predictive analytics i.e. forecasting future opportunities and risks is the most prominent application of regression analysis in business. Demand analysis, for instance, predicts the number of items which a consumer will probably purchase. However, demand is not the only dependent variable when it comes to business. Regression analysis can go far beyond forecasting impact on direct revenue. For example, we can forecast the number of shoppers who will pass in front of a particular billboard and use that data to estimate the maximum to bid for an advertisement. Insurance companies heavily rely on regression analysis to estimate the credit standing of policyholders and a possible number of claims in a given time period.

2. Operation Efficiency:

Regression models can also be used to optimize business processes. A factory manager, for example, can create a statistical model to understand the impact of oven temperature on the shelf life of the cookies baked in those ovens. In a call center, we can analyze the relationship between wait times of callers and number of complaints. Data-driven decision making eliminates guesswork, hypothesis and corporate politics from decision making. This improves the business performance by highlighting the areas that have the maximum impact on the operational efficiency and revenues.

3. Supporting Decisions:

Businesses today are overloaded with data on finances, operations and customer purchases. Increasingly, executives are now leaning on data analytics to make informed business decisions thus eliminating the intuition and gut feel. Regression analysis can bring a scientific angle to the management of any businesses. By reducing the tremendous amount of raw data into actionable information, regression analysis leads the way to smarter and more accurate decisions. This does not mean that regression analysis is an end to managers creative thinking. This technique acts as a perfect tool to test a hypothesis before diving into execution.

4. Correcting Errors:

Regression is not only great for lending empirical support to management decisions but also for identifying errors in judgment. For example, a retail store manager may believe that extending shopping hours will greatly increase sales. Regression analysis, however, may indicate that the increase in revenue might not be sufficient to support the rise in operating expenses due to longer working hours (such as additional employee labor charges). Hence, regression analysis can provide quantitative support for decisions and prevent mistakes due to manager's intuitions.

5. New Insights:

Over time businesses have gathered a large volume of unorganized data that has the potential to yield valuable insights. However, this data is useless without proper analysis. Regression analysis techniques can find a relationship between different variables by uncovering patterns that were previously unnoticed. For example, analysis of data from point of sales systems and purchase accounts may highlight market patterns like increase in demand on certain days of the week or at certain times of the year. You can maintain optimal stock and personnel before a spike in demand arises by acknowledging these insights.


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