Calculate 95% confidence interval, and what will be your conclusion? Explain why you reach or do not reach the same conclusion as in question (a).
In: Statistics and Probability
Uniform Distribution
You believe stock price will follow uniform distribution with mean of 100 and MAD 20. You are pricing a CALL option with strike at 110.
a. what is the range of the distribution?
b. what is the probability that the call will be ITM at expiration (ie stock price ends above strike at 110)?
c. what is the conditional mean of stock price when CALL is ITM (aka stock price is above strike 110)?
d. what is the conditional CALL option average payment when the CALL is ITM?
e. what is the fair value of the CALL today, ie the unconditional average payment today?
(additional practice: redo for 90 strike CALL, 90 strike PUT, 110 strike PUT)
In: Statistics and Probability
In: Statistics and Probability
A statistical program is recommended.
The owner of a movie theater company would like to predict weekly gross revenue as a function of advertising expenditures. Historical data for a sample of eight weeks follow.
Weekly Gross Revenue ($1,000s) |
Television Advertising ($1,000s) |
Newspaper Advertising ($1,000s) |
---|---|---|
96 | 5 | 1.5 |
91 | 2 | 2 |
95 | 4 | 1.5 |
93 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
95 | 3 | 3.2 |
94 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
94 | 2.5 | 4.1 |
94 | 3 | 2.5 |
(a) Use α = 0.01 to test the hypotheses
H0: | β1 = β2 = 0 |
Ha: | β1 and/or β2 is not equal to zero |
for the model y = β0 + β1x1 + β2x2 + ε, where
x1 | = | television advertising ($1,000s) |
x2 | = | newspaper advertising ($1,000s). |
Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
Use α = 0.05 to test the significance of β1.
Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
Use α = 0.05 to test the significance of β2.
Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
Find the p-value. (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
p-value =
In: Statistics and Probability
Provide an appropriate response.
A district administrator wants to determine the effect of truancy
on academic achievement. She asks the dean at a high school to
randomly select the records of 50 truant students and to randomly
select the records of 50 nontruant students. Identify any problems
that are likely to cause confounding.
the use of records from only one school |
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nothing (this is a well-designed retrospective study) |
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the use of one person to select the records for members of both groups |
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the number of records in each group (since, presumably, there are more nontruant students, there should be more members selected from that group) |
2 points
Question 40
Identify which of these types of sampling is used:
random, stratified, systematic, cluster,
convenience.
To avoid working late, a quality control analyst simply inspects
the first 100 items produced in a day.
Random |
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Convenience |
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Cluster |
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Stratified |
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Systematic |
2 points
Question 41
Construct the requested table. Round relative
frequencies to the nearest hundredth of a percent, unless otherwise
indicated.
The following data show the body temperatures (°F) of randomly
selected subjects. Construct a relative frequency table with seven
classes: 96.9 - 97.2, 97.3 - 97.6, 97.7 - 98.0, and so on.
Round relative frequencies to the nearest tenth of a percent.
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|
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|
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|
2 points
Question 42
Construct the requested table.
The following data represent the total number of years of formal
education for 40 employees of a bank.
Create a frequency table for the number of years of education.
|
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|
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|
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|
2 points
Question 43
Determine whether the evaluated group is a population or
a sample.
A researcher determines that 42.7% of all downtown office buildings
have ventilation problems.
Population |
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Sample |
2 points
Question 44
Determine whether the evaluated group is a population or
a sample.
A researcher examines the records of all the registered voters in
one city and finds that 43% are registered Democrats.
Sample |
||
Population |
2 points
Question 45
Provide a written description of the complement of the
given event.
Of ten adults, at least one of them has high blood pressure.
None of the adults have high blood pressure. |
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At most one of the adults has high blood pressure. |
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All of the adults have high blood pressure. |
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Nine of the adults have high blood pressure. |
2 points
Question 46
Provide a written description of the complement of the
given event.
When several textbooks are edited, none of them are found to be
free of errors.
All of the textbooks are free of errors. |
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One of the textbooks is free of errors. |
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At least one of the textbooks is free of errors. |
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At most one of the textbooks is free of errors. |
2 points
Question 47
$663 | $273 | $410 | $622 | $174 | $374 |
36,838.3 dollars2 |
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1,207,582.7 dollars2 |
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30,698.6 dollars2 |
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36,838.2 dollars2 |
2 points
Question 48
17.2 | 16.6 | 30.8 | 28.6 | 20.3 | 18.4 |
6.15 in. |
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3088.7 in. |
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2899.6 in. |
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29.7 in. |
2 points
Question 49
Determine if the outcome is unusual. Consider as unusual
any result that differs from the mean by more than 2 standard
deviations. That is, unusual values are either less than μ - 2σ or
greater than μ + 2σ.
A survey for brand recognition is done and it is determined that
68% of consumers have heard of Dull Computer Company. A survey of
800 randomly selected consumers is to be conducted. For such groups
of 800, would it be unusual to get 504 consumers who recognize the
Dull Computer Company name?
Yes |
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No |
2 points
Question 50
Find the standard deviation, σ, for the binomial
distribution which has the stated values of n and p. Round your
answer to the nearest hundredth.
n = 1617; p = 0.57
σ = 17.50 |
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σ = 24.03 |
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σ = 23.18 |
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σ = 19.91 |
In: Statistics and Probability
The following estimated regression equation based on 10 observations was presented.
ŷ = 25.1670 + 0.5705x1 + 0.4960x2
Here, SST = 6,732.125, SSR = 6,221.375, sb1 = 0.0818, and sb2 = 0.0561.
a) Compute MSR and MSE. (Round your answers to three decimal places.)
MSR=
MSE=
Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
F =
Perform a t test for the significance of β1. Use α = 0.05.
Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
t =
Perform a t test for the significance of β2. Use α = 0.05.
Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
t =
In: Statistics and Probability
Consider the following information, which are estimates as of mid-2019.
Consider the following information, which are estimates as of mid-2019.
Country | Population Size | Birth Rate | Death Rate |
United States | 329.2 million | 12 | 9 |
China | 1388.0 million | 11 | 7 |
Finland | 5.5 million | 9 | 10 |
For each country listed above, calculate r and how many people there will be in mid-2020 if population growth is exponential. Use the differential equation (dN/dt) for exponential population growth that was presented in Lecture.
In: Statistics and Probability
Consider the following data on price ($) and the overall score for six stereo headphones tested by a certain magazine. The overall score is based on sound quality and effectiveness of ambient noise reduction. Scores range from 0 (lowest) to 100 (highest).
Brand | Price ($) | Score |
---|---|---|
A | 180 | 78 |
B | 150 | 69 |
C | 95 | 63 |
D | 70 | 58 |
E | 70 | 38 |
F | 35 | 24 |
1. The estimated regression equation for this data is ŷ = 21.990 + 0.330x, where x = price ($) and y = overall score. Does the t test indicate a significant relationship between price and the overall score? Use α = 0.05.
1a. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
(a) H0: β0 ≠ 0
Ha: β0 = 0
(b) H0: β1 = 0
Ha: β1 ≠
0
(c) H0: β1 ≠ 0
Ha: β1 = 0
(d) H0: β0 = 0
Ha: β0 ≠ 0
(e) H0: β1 ≥ 0
Ha: β1 < 0
1b. Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
1c. Find the p-value. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
p-value =
1d. What is your conclusion?
(a) Do not reject H0. We cannot conclude that the relationship between price ($) and overall score is significant.
(b) Reject H0. We conclude that the relationship between price ($) and overall score is significant.
(c) Reject H0. We cannot conclude that the relationship between price ($) and overall score is significant.
(d) Do not reject H0. We conclude that the relationship between price ($) and overall score is significant.
2. Test for a significant relationship using the F test. Use α = 0.05.
2a. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
(a) H0: β1 = 0
Ha: β1 ≠ 0
(b) H0: β0 = 0
Ha: β0 ≠
0
(c) H0: β1 ≠ 0
Ha: β1 = 0
(d) H0: β0 ≠ 0
Ha: β0 = 0
(e) H0: β1 ≥ 0
Ha: β1 < 0
2b. Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
2c. Find the p-value. (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
p-value =
2d. What is your conclusion?
(a) Do not reject H0. We cannot conclude that the relationship between price ($) and overall score is significant.
(b) Reject H0. We conclude that the relationship between price ($) and overall score is significant.
(c) Reject H0. We cannot conclude that the relationship between price ($) and overall score is significant.
(d) Do not reject H0. We conclude that the relationship between price ($) and overall score is significant.
3,. Show the ANOVA table for these data. (Round your p-value to three decimal places and all other values to two decimal places.)
Source of Variation |
Sum of Squares |
Degrees of Freedom |
Mean Square |
F | p-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regression | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
Error | ? | ? | ? | ||
Total | ? | ? |
In: Statistics and Probability
A widget company tested 101,000 widgets, of which only 1,000 had defects. The company’s test correctly identified defects 99% of the time and correctly identified non-defects 95% of the time. 2 (a) What percentage of the widgets marked as defects were actually defective? (b) What percentage of the widgets marked as non-defects were not defective? (c) The answer to problem a is counter-intuitive. Explain what happened? (d) What would be your suggestion for improving the accuracy of the defect/nondefect identification. Improving the accuracy of the tests is not a valid answer.
In: Statistics and Probability
Why would you want to use the Monte Carlo Simulation to explore a decision option rather than solve the branch analytically?
In: Statistics and Probability
A distribution is normal with a mean of 25 and a standard deviation of 3.
11. What is the median of the distribution?
12. What percent of the distribution lies between 22 and 28?
13. What percent of the distribution lies below 16?
14. What percent of the distribution lies above 28?
In: Statistics and Probability
43 | 77 | 36 | 40 | 47 | 47 | 39 | 33 |
51 | 43 | 34 | 41 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 23 |
50 | 41 | 43 | 45 | 50 | 44 | 41 | 45 |
40 | 33 | 42 | 25 | 41 | 36 | 38 | 33 |
26 | 54 | 44 | 49 | 21 | 26 | 37 | 43 |
32 | 45 | 38 | 40 | 25 | 62 | 41 | 62 |
45 | 37 | 44 | 43 | 41 | 33 | 37 | 25 |
37 | 40 | 32 | 42 | 56 | 34 | 47 | 52 |
39 | 47 | 41 | 44 | 49 | 34 | 43 | 48 |
49 | 41 | 31 | 48 |
First, sort the data.
Second, build a GFDT for this table with a classwidth of
5.
(Be sure your lower class limits are multiples of the
classwidth.)
Next, answer the following questions about the data set:
1. What is the first lower class limit in your GFDT (given the
classwidth of 5)?
2. Express the third class as a closed interval, i.e.,
[a,b][a,b].
3. Give the frequency for the third class.
4. What is the (arithmetic) mean for this data (report accurate to
one decimal place)?
5. Using the GFDT, what is the mode for this data set (use the
appropriate definition for mode)?(take the class with the biggest
frequency [40,44], and apply the following formula (Lower class
limit+Upper class limit)/2
6. What is the standard deviation for this data (report accurate to
two decimal places)?
7. What is the five number summary for this data set (separate
numbers with a comma)?
8. What is the IQR?
9. What usual score (i.e., non-outlier) has the largest
positive z-score less than z=2z=2? (Give the data value,
not the z-score.)
10. Give the fences---this would suggest something other
than z-scores---for the mild outliers at the maximal end
of the data set; report as a closed interval, i.e., [upper
mild fence, upper extreme fence].
Need help with solving this problem, please dummy it down for me I would also like to know how to solve it. Please provide answers thanks!
In: Statistics and Probability
Consider the following data on price ($) and the overall score for six stereo headphones tested by a certain magazine. The overall score is based on sound quality and effectiveness of ambient noise reduction. Scores range from 0 (lowest) to 100 (highest).
Brand | Price ($) | Score |
---|---|---|
A | 180 | 74 |
B | 150 | 71 |
C | 95 | 63 |
D | 70 | 56 |
E | 70 | 38 |
F | 35 | 28 |
(a) The estimated regression equation for this data is ŷ = 24.799 + 0.302x, where x = price ($) and y = overall score. Does the t test indicate a significant relationship between price and the overall score? Use α = 0.05.
State the null and alternative hypotheses.
H0: β1 = 0
Ha: β1 ≠ 0
H0: β0 ≠ 0
Ha: β0 = 0
H0: β1 ≠ 0
Ha: β1 = 0
H0: β1 ≥ 0
Ha: β1 < 0
H0: β0 = 0
Ha: β0 ≠ 0
Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
Find the p-value. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
p-value =
Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
Find the p-value. (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
p-value =
(c) Show the ANOVA table for these data. (Round your p-value to three decimal places and all other values to two decimal places.)
Source of Variation |
Sum of Squares |
Degrees of Freedom |
Mean Square |
F | p-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regression | |||||
Error | |||||
Total |
In: Statistics and Probability
The grades of a sample of 10 applicants, selected at random from a large population, are 71, 86, 75, 63, 92, 70, 81, 59, 80, and 90. Compute the sample variance. Can we infer at the 90% confidence that the population variance is significantly less than 100? (i.e. Perform Hypothesis testing)
In: Statistics and Probability
1) An assumption of non parametric tests is that the distribution must be normal: (a) True (b) False
2) One characteristic of the chi-square tests is that they can be used when the data are measured on a nominal scale: (a) True (b) False
3) Which of the following accurately describes the observed frequencies for a chi-square test?: (a) They are always whole numbers. (b) They can contain fractions or decimal values. (c) They can contain both positive and negative values. (d) They are always the same value.
4) The term expected frequencies refers to the frequencies ____. (a) found in the sample data (b) found in the population being examined (c) computed from the null hypothesis (d) that are hypothesized for the population being examined
5) For a given alpha level, what happens to the critical value for a chi-square test if the number of categories is increased?: (a) The critical value also increases. (b) The critical value decreases. (c) The critical value depends on the sample size, not the number of categories. (d) the critical value is determined entirely by the alpha level.
6) A chi-square test for independence has df = 3. What is the total number of categories (cells in the matrix) that were used to classify individuals in the sample?: (a) four (b) six (c) eight (d) nine
7) Suppose we wanted to explore the following research question: Are males more likely to choose a business course than females? Which groups are being compared here?
(a)Males and Females (b) Students enrolled in Business, Social Science and Other courses
In: Statistics and Probability