20.24 Xr20-24 The quarterly earnings (in $millions) of a large soft-drink manufacturer have been recorded for the years 2013–2016. These data are listed here. Compute the seasonal indexes given the regression line
y^=61.75+1.18t (t=1,2,...,16)
Year
2013 2014 2015 2016
Quarter
1 52 57 60 66
2 67 75 77 82
3 85 90 94 98
4 54 61 63 67
Use the seasonal indexes and trend line to forecast the quarterly earnings for the years 2014 and 2015 in Exercise 20.24 (above)
In: Statistics and Probability
In: Statistics and Probability
State |
City |
Number of accidents |
Year |
GA |
Rock Spring |
52 |
2011 |
GA |
Doraville |
44 |
2011 |
GA |
Ellaville |
67 |
2011 |
FL |
Jacksonville |
53 |
2011 |
GA |
Stockbridge |
72 |
2011 |
FL |
Belleview |
63 |
2012 |
AZ |
Phoenix |
69 |
2011 |
FL |
Crestview |
51 |
2012 |
IA |
Johnston |
48 |
2012 |
GA |
Rockmart |
44 |
2012 |
CO |
Greenwood Village |
53 |
2011 |
GA |
Jonesboro |
54 |
2011 |
GA |
Decatur |
76 |
2013 |
FL |
Clearwater |
76 |
2013 |
GA |
Gray |
57 |
2012 |
CA |
Nevada City |
76 |
2013 |
FL |
Milton |
61 |
2011 |
GA |
Woodstock |
78 |
2013 |
GA |
Cumming |
70 |
2012 |
GA |
Statesboro |
47 |
2013 |
FL |
Palm Beach |
42 |
2011 |
CO |
Greeley |
60 |
2012 |
FL |
Sarasota |
40 |
2011 |
FL |
Apollo Beach |
75 |
2011 |
AZ |
Prescott |
40 |
2012 |
FL |
Port St. Lucie |
61 |
2012 |
GA |
Stockbridge |
78 |
2012 |
GA |
Atlanta |
60 |
2011 |
CO |
Windsor |
43 |
2013 |
CO |
Castle Rock |
55 |
2011 |
GA |
Clayton |
58 |
2011 .... |
Hint: You may have to switch the row and column labels in the PivotChart to get the best presentation for your PivotChart.
In: Statistics and Probability
A simple random sample of 600 individuals provides 100 Yes responses.
a. What is the point estimate of the proportion of the population that would provide Yes responses (to 3 decimals, if needed)?
b. What is your estimate of the standard error of the proportion (to 4 decimals)?
c. Compute the 95% confidence interval for the population proportion (to 3 decimals).
In: Statistics and Probability
1.When the value of the standard deviation increases, the value of the z score will generally tend to
a. increase
b. decrease
2. In a standard normal distribution, what z-score corresponds to the 75th percentile?
a. z=.67
b. z=.07
c. z=.75
d. z=1.75
3. The total area under the normal curve is approximately 1.
a. true
b. false
4. If IQ scores are normally distributed with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 20, then the probability of a person's have an IQ score of at least 130
a. is does not exist
b. .0668
c. is .4332
d. is .5000
5. The life of a brand of battery is normally distributed with a mean of 2 hours and a standard deviation of 6 hours. The probability that a single randomly selected battery lasts more than 70 hours is
a. .0000
b. .0918
c. .4082
d. .9082
6. Suppose family incomes in a small town are normally distributed with a mean of $1200 and a standard deviation of $600 per month. The probability that a given family has an income between $1000 and $2050 per month is
a. .0918
b. .4082
c. .9082
d. .5515
7. Suppose family incomes in a small town are normally distributed with a mean of $1200 and a standard deviation of $600 per month. The probability that a given family has an income up to $2,000 per month is
a. .9082
b. .0918
c. .4082
d. .5515
8. The normal distribution is centered at its mean.
a. true
b. false
In: Statistics and Probability
what would the effect be of a one-tailed test and the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis?
In: Statistics and Probability
Mean 55.533796
Std Dev 4.5528105
Std Err Mean 1.0180394
Upper 95% Mean 57.664577
Lower 95% Mean 53.403015
N 20
t Test Test Statistic Prob > t 0.9170
Answer the following questions by filling in the blanks for each situation.
Report each answer as a number and round to two (2) decimal places. Please note that answers that do not follow this exact specification will not receive any credit.
1. The value of the population mean under the null hypothesis equals
2. The number of degrees of freedom for the sampling distribution of the t-ratio in this problem equals
3. The p-value associated with this test equals
In: Statistics and Probability
Company ABC | Company XYZ |
18,42280727 | 18,11722091 |
23,25971383 | 18,03236506 |
24,47267508 | 11,70181582 |
16,43125944 | 28,6349246 |
24,28843419 | 20,01970193 |
28,94755272 | 21,43805892 |
23,99634997 | 25,77991841 |
21,24041049 | 17,61727736 |
13,03788468 | 23,17141939 |
22,48407401 | 19,44828346 |
11,75437848 | 16,47678806 |
25,32910531 | 27,07743766 |
28,29293481 | 22,60188244 |
18,07510972 | 21,75405717 |
18,52644874 | 17,69497663 |
27,387692 | 17,85126192 |
31,33021511 | 26,10624511 |
17,54311671 | 21,061494 |
19,60308128 | 20,38612598 |
24,13955445 | 23,3838603 |
22,91021548 | 27,90996637 |
24,93664016 | 15,98477416 |
17,39909368 | 15,16035132 |
23,66404789 | 21,78663413 |
26,33621608 | 25,21042693 |
34,52750735 | 25,72431418 |
28,47319212 | 22,36474307 |
20,53729378 | 21,05484901 |
21,29081923 | 20,54825477 |
14,71201432 | 16,49442088 |
24,47566959 | 15,64039399 |
14,28379238 | 18,38440203 |
12,40888724 | 23,25464953 |
18,93436393 | 18,26911221 |
29,47781996 | 18,64149345 |
22,68654117 | 25,70740895 |
22,51631105 | 20,85214458 |
24,03909167 | 23,93770199 |
31,76300726 | |
17,96011776 | |
28,38274287 | |
17,65424787 | |
27,28002602 | |
22,83645773 | |
23,3062072 | |
15,58564764 | |
25,03221213 | |
20,24033921 | |
26,41886186 | |
18,33414518 |
A large consumer electronics retailer is planning to expand its
e-commerce operations. To this end, the management is considering
establishing a strategic partnership with courier company XYZ for
the delivery of customers’ orders.
Question 1
The management of the retailer is prepared to proceed with the
partnership only if XYZ can deliver orders faster than company ABC
that is currently used by the retailer. The e-commerce department
of the retailer has collected data from 50 random orders delivered
by ABC in the last two months and 38 similar random orders
delivered by XYZ in the same period. The data is included in the
table below and refer to the time (in hours) between the placement
of each order and the delivery to the customer. Use an appropriate
statistical test to advise the management of the retailer whether
or not they should partner with XYZ.
In: Statistics and Probability
A simple random sample of size n equals 18 is drawn from a population that is normally distributed. The sample mean is found to be x overbar equals 62 and the sample standard deviation is found to be s equals 20. Construct a 95% confidence interval about the population mean.
In: Statistics and Probability
An analysis is interested in testing whether four population have equal means. The following sample data have been collected from population that are assumed to be normally distributed with equal variance:
S1 |
S2 |
S3 |
S4 |
9 |
12 |
8 |
17 |
6 |
16 |
8 |
15 |
11 |
16 |
12 |
17 |
14 |
12 |
7 |
16 |
14 |
9 |
10 |
13 |
You should use the output information in the following manner to answer the question.
Source of Variation |
SS |
df |
MS |
F |
Sig. Value |
Between Sample |
|||||
Within Sample |
|||||
Total |
In: Statistics and Probability
Run a regression analysis on the following bivariate set of data with y as the response variable.
x | y |
---|---|
58.6 | 56.3 |
66.3 | 72.1 |
54.8 | 119.2 |
57.4 | 83.2 |
62.8 | 74.3 |
77.6 | 72.2 |
71.8 | 62.2 |
46.4 | 77.2 |
77.4 | 86.6 |
60.5 | 78.4 |
66.4 | 131.3 |
76.4 | 113.5 |
68.5 | 84.2 |
81.5 | 102 |
77.5 | 136.3 |
49 | 12.2 |
Verify that the correlation is significant at an α=0.05. If the
correlation is indeed significant, predict what value (on average)
for the explanatory variable will give you a value of 82.3 on the
response variable.
What is the predicted explanatory value?
x =
(Report answer accurate to one decimal place.)
In: Statistics and Probability
Answer the following questions in the space provided in your own words. 1. A Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) economist conducts a statistical study to test his hunch that in households with a minimum-wage worker, mean household debt changes following a hike in the minimum wage. Suppose the mean household debt stays the same following a minimum-wage hike. However, when the economist collects a random sample, the sample mean difference is actually greater than zero.
a. Does this mean the economist made a mistake in his research? Explain why/why not.
b. Suppose the economist collects a random sample and decides to conduct a hypothesis test. Formulate the null and alternative hypothesis: c
. For each statement in the following table, place in X in the correct box to indicate whether the statement is the null hypothesis, the alternative hypothesis, or neither (Hint: this is a non-directional hypothesis test)
Null Hypothesis |
Alternate Hypothesis |
Neither |
|
In households with a minimum-wage worker, mean household debt changes following a hike in the minimum wage |
|||
In households with a minimum-wage worker, mean household debt stays the same following a hike in the minimum wage |
|||
In households with a minimum-wage worker, mean household debt increases following a hike in the minimum wage |
|||
In households with a minimum-wage worker, mean household debt decreases following a hike in the minimum wage |
In: Statistics and Probability
On December 17, 2007 baseball writer John Hickey
wrote an article for the Seattle P-I about increases to
ticket prices for Seattle Mariners games during the 2008 season.
The article included a data set that listed the average ticket
price for each MLB team, the league in which the team plays (AL or
NL), the number of wins during the 2007 season and the cost per win
(in dollars). The data for the 16 National League teams are shown
below.
team | league | price | wins | cost/win |
Arizona Diamondbacks | NL | 19.68 | 90 | 35.40 |
Atlanta Braves | NL | 17.07 | 84 | 32.89 |
Chicago Cubs | NL | 34.30 | 85 | 65.33 |
Cincinnati Reds | NL | 17.90 | 72 | 40.32 |
Colorado Rockies | NL | 14.72 | 90 | 26.67 |
Florida Marlins | NL | 16.70 | 71 | 38.13 |
Houston Astros | NL | 26.66 | 73 | 59.11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers | NL | 20.09 | 82 | 34.64 |
Milwaukee Brewers | NL | 18.11 | 83 | 35.37 |
N.Y. Mets | NL | 25.28 | 88 | 46.56 |
Philadelphia Phillies | NL | 26.73 | 89 | 48.69 |
Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 17.08 | 68 | 40.67 |
San Diego Padres | NL | 20.83 | 89 | 38.15 |
San Francisco Giants | NL | 24.53 | 71 | 56.00 |
St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 29.78 | 78 | 61.91 |
Washington Nationals | NL | 20.88 | 73 | 46.30 |
Compute the correlation between average 2007 price and
cost per win for these 16 teams. (Assume the correlation
conditions have been satisfied and round your answer to the nearest
0.001.)
In: Statistics and Probability
A regression model to predict Y, the state-by-state 2005 burglary crime rate per 100,000 people, used the following four state predictors: X1 = median age in 2005, X2 = number of 2005 bankruptcies per 1,000 people, X3 = 2004 federal expenditures per capita, and X4 = 2005 high school graduation percentage.
Predictor | Coefficient |
Intercept | 4,286.0597 |
AgeMed | -26.986 |
Bankrupt | 18.5775 |
FedSpend | -0.0280 |
HSGrad% | -28.5624 |
(a) Write the fitted regression equation. (Round your answers to 4 decimal places. Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign.)
yˆy^ = + AgeMed + Bankrupt + FedSpend + HSGrad%
(b-1) The 2005 state-by-state crime rate per 100,000
increases by about 27 as the state median age increases. | |
decreases by about 27 as the state median age increases. |
(b-2) The 2005 state-by-state crime rate per 100,000
decreases by about 19 for every 1,000 new bankruptcies filed. | |
increases by about 19 for every 1,000 new bankruptcies filed. |
(b-3) The 2005 state-by-state crime rate per 100,000
decreases by 0.028 for each dollar increase in federal funding per person. | |
increases by 0.028 for each dollar increase in federal funding per person. |
(b-4) The 2005 state-by-state crime rate per 100,000
decreases by about 29 for each 1% increase in high school graduations. | |
increases by about 29 for each 1% increase in high school graduations. |
(c) Would the intercept seem to have meaning in this regression?
No | |
Yes |
(d) Make a prediction for Burglary when X1= 34 years, X2= 7.2 bankruptcies per 1,000, X3= $5,044, and X4= 84 percent.
Burglary Rate
rev: 09_26_2016_QC_CS-62964, 09_20_2017_QC_CS-1011
In: Statistics and Probability
Why do we use adjusted R2 instead of R2 in variable selection? Why do we not always choose the model with the highest adjusted R2?
In: Statistics and Probability