3. Answer both questions.
Question I: Your stock analyst tells you that a stock will go
to $40 with probability of 30%,
the stock will go to $50 with probability of 50% and will go
to $60 with probability of 20%.
Find the mean (expected value) and variance for the stock
price.
Question II: Your simple stock portfolio consists of stock X
and stock Y.
80% of your portfolio is made up of stock X and 20% is made up
of stock Y.
The mean price of the stock X is $30 and the mean price of
stock Y is $50.
The variance of stock X is 20 and the variance of stock Y is
10.
The covariance between them is 8.
Find the mean (expected value) and variance for the total
value of the portfolio.
4. The probability that anyone at your party makes it to the
end of the party is 80%.
Due to the current situation, there are only 5 (instead of
100?) people at your party.
Assuming that the possibility that any one person makes it to
the end of the party is independent of anyone else, then use the
Binomial model to find the probability that exactly
x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 people make it to the end of the
party.