In: Statistics and Probability
A recent study reported that
59%
of the children in a particular community were overweight or obese. Suppose a random sample of
300
public school children is taken from this community. Assume the sample was taken in such a way that the conditions for using the Central Limit Theorem are met. We are interested in finding the probability that the proportion of overweight/obese children in the sample will be greater than
0.55
Complete parts (a) and (b) below.
a. Before doing any calculations, determine whether this probability is greater than 50% or less than 50%. Why?
A.The answer should be less than 50%, because 0.55 is less than the population proportion of
0.59 and because the sampling distribution is approximately Normal.
B.The answer should be greater than 50%, because
0.55 is less than the population proportion of
0.59 and because the sampling distribution is approximately Normal.
C.
The answer should be greater than 50%, because the resulting z-score will be positive and the sampling distribution is approximately Normal.
D.
The answer should be less than 50%, because the resulting z-score will be negative and the sampling distribution is approximately Normal.
b. Calculate the probability that
55%
or more of the sample are overweight or obese.
Upper P left parenthesis ModifyingAbove p with caret greater than or equals 0.55 right parenthesisPp≥0.55equals=nothing
(Round to three decimal places as needed.)
The population proportion is 0.59
To find P(p > 0.55), n = 300
(a) Case 1: When sample proportion is greater than population proportion: We will have a positive z score and then the probability of getting a value lesser than the sample proportion will be more than 50% and the probability of getting a value greater than the sample proportion will be less than 50%.
Case 2: When sample proportion is lesser than population proportion: We will have a negative z score and then the probability of getting a value lesser than the sample proportion will be less than 50% and the probability of getting a value greater than the sample proportion will be more than 50%
In this case we have a sample proportion which is lesser than the population proportion and we need to find the probability that the sample proportion is > than the population proportion.
Therefore Option B: The answer should be greater than 50%because 0.55 is less than the population proportion of 0.59 and because the sampling distribution is approximately normal.
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For P(p > 0.55) = 1 - P(p < 0.55)
For P(p < 0.55)
The probability for z (-1.41) = 0.0793
Therefore the required probability P(p > 0.55) = 1 - 0.0793 = 0.9207
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