In: Finance
JT Inc
Following is the seven-year forecast for a new venture called JT Inc: (all amounts in $000)
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
EBIT | $(1000) | $(900) | $200 | $1,200 | $2,500 | $3000 | $3,050 |
Capital Expenditures | $550 | $350 | $200 | $175 | $175 | $160 | $150 |
Changes in Working Capital | $400 | $300 | $200 | $100 | $100 | ($100) | ($100) |
Depreciation | $40 | $80 | $125 | $150 | $150 | $150 | $150 |
Beginning after year 2026 the annual growth in EBIT is expected to be 1.5%, a rate that is projected to be constant over JT Inc remaining life as an enterprise. Beginning in 2026 JT Inc capital expenditures and depreciation are expected to offset each other (capex - depreciation = 0) and year to year changes in working capital are expected to be zero (working capital levels remain constant year over year). For discounting purposes consider 2020 as year 1.
Assume a tax rate is 21% and a cost of capital of 7.75%
Determine the NPV of JT Inc Free Cash Flow for the years 2020 -2026. HINT: Remember to account for loss carry-forwards when determining income taxes.
All amounts mentioned are in $000
First, we calculate the free cash flows from years 2020 to 2026:
Losses in 2020 and 2021 are $1000 + $900, which is $1900. This loss is carried forward, and set off against EBIT of future years. The EBIT of 2022 and 2023 ($1,400) is entirely set off against the carried forward losses. In 2024, the remaining carried forward loss of $500 is set off against EBIT of $2500. The tax payment in 2024 is ($2,500 - $500) * 21%. In 2025 and 2026, tax payment = EBIT * 21%
Free cash flow = EBIT - tax + deprecation - increase in working capital - capital expenditure
Each of these free cash flows are discounted back to the present using the discount rate of 7.75%
Present value of free cash flow of year X = free cash flow / (1 + 7.75%)^X
Sum of these free cash flows = $2,105
Next, we calculate the value of the future cash flows after 2026:
EBIT in 2027 = $3,050 + 1.5% ==> $3,095.75
Free cash flow in 2027 = EBIT(1 - tax rate) ==> $3,095.75 (1 - 0.79) ==> $2,445.64
As the expenditures and depreciation are expected to offset each other (capex - depreciation = 0) and year to year changes in working capital are expected to be zero, no other adjustments to EBIT are required
Terminal value of free cash flows (in 2026) = Free cash flow in 2027 / (cost of capital - constant growth rate)
Terminal value in 2026 = $2,445.64 / (0.0775 - 0.015) ==> $39,130.24
Present value of Terminal value = $39,130.24 / (1 + 0.0775)^7 ==> $23,206
NPV = sum of PV of free cash flows + PV of terminal value
NPV = $2,105 + $23,206
NPV = $25,311