In: Statistics and Probability
A service station has both self-service and full-service islands. On each island, there is a single regular unleaded pump with two hoses. Let X denote the number of hoses being used on the self-service island at a particular time, and let Y denote the number of hoses on the full-service island in use at that time. The joint pmf of X and Y appears in the accompanying tabulation. y p(x, y) 0 1 2 x 0 0.10 0.05 0.02 1 0.07 0.20 0.08 2 0.06 0.14 0.28 (a) Given that X = 1, determine the conditional pmf of Y—i.e., pY|X(0|1), pY|X(1|1), pY|X(2|1). (Round your answers to four decimal places.) y 0 1 2 pY|X(y|1) (b) Given that two hoses are in use at the self-service island, what is the conditional pmf of the number of hoses in use on the full-service island? (Round your answers to four decimal places.) y 0 1 2 pY|X(y|2) (c) Use the result of part (b) to calculate the conditional probability P(Y ≤ 1 | X = 2). (Round your answer to four decimal places.) P(Y ≤ 1 | X = 2) = (d) Given that two hoses are in use at the full-service island, what is the conditional pmf of the number in use at the self-service island? (Round your answers to four decimal places.) x 0 1 2 pX|Y(x|2)
Solution
Given joint pmf of X and Y in a more comprehensive table
| 
 x  | 
 y  | 
 Total  | 
||
| 
 0  | 
 1  | 
 2  | 
||
| 
 0  | 
 0.10  | 
 0.07  | 
 0.06  | 
 0.23  | 
| 
 1  | 
 0.05  | 
 0.20  | 
 0.14  | 
 0.39  | 
| 
 2  | 
 0.02  | 
 0.08  | 
 0.28  | 
 0.38  | 
| 
 Total  | 
 0.17  | 
 0.35  | 
 0.48  | 
 1.00  | 
Back-up Theory
If A and B are two events such that probability of B is influenced by occurrence or otherwise of A, then
Conditional Probability of B given A, denoted by P(B/A) = P(B ∩ A)/P(A)…….................................................….(1)
Now, to work out the solution,
Part (a)
Given that X = 1, the conditional pmf of Y
= P(Y = y/X = 1)
= P(Y = y, X = 1)/P(X = 1) [vide (1)]
| 
 PY(0/X = 1)  | 
 PY(1/X = 1)  | 
 PY(2/X = 1)  | 
 Total  | 
| 
 0.1282  | 
 0.5128  | 
 0.3590  | 
 1  | 
Answer 1
Part (b)
Given that two hoses are in use at the self-service island, the conditional pmf of the number of hoses in use on the full-service island
= The conditional pmf of Y given that X = 2
= P(Y = y/X = 2)
= P(Y = y, X = 2)/P(X = 2) [vide (1)]
| 
 PY(0/X = 2)  | 
 PY(1/X = 2)  | 
 PY(2/X = 2)  | 
 Total  | 
| 
 0.0526  | 
 0.2105  | 
 0.7368  | 
 1  | 
Answer 2
Part (c)
The conditional probability P(Y ≤ 1|X = 2)
= PY(0/X = 2) + PY(1/X = 2)
= 0.2631 [vide Answer of Part (b)] Answer 3
Part (d)
Given that two hoses are in use at the full-service island, the conditional pmf of the number in use at the self-service island
= P(X = x/Y = 2)
= P(X = x, Y = 2)/P(Y = 2) [vide (1)]
| 
 PX(X = 0/Y = 2)  | 
 0.1250  | 
| 
 PX(X = 1/Y = 2)  | 
 0.2917  | 
| 
 PX(X = 2/Y = 2)  | 
 0.5833  | 
| 
 Total  | 
 1.0000  | 
Answer 4
DONE