Question

In: Statistics and Probability

it is a different table so please do the calculation again Heat treating is often used...

it is a different table so please do the calculation again

Heat treating is often used to carburize metal parts, such as gears. The thickness of the carburized layer is considered a crucial feature of the gear and contributes to the overall reliability of the part. Because of the critical nature of this feature, two different lab tests are performed on each furnace load. One test is run on a sample pin that accompanies each load. The other test is a destructive test, where an actual part is cross-sectioned. This test involves running a carbon analysis on the surface of both the gear pitch (top of the gear tooth) and the gear root (between the gear teeth). Table 12-6 shows the results of the pitch carbon analysis test for

Temp

SoakTime

SoakPct

DiffTime

DiffPct

Pitch

1650

0.58

1.1

0.25

0.9

0.013

1650

0.66

1.1

0.33

0.9

0.016

1650

0.66

1.1

0.33

0.9

0.015

1650

0.66

1.1

0.33

0.95

0.016

1600

0.66

1.15

0.33

1

0.015

1600

0.66

1.15

0.33

1

0.016

1650

1

1.1

0.5

0.8

0.014

1650

1.17

1.1

0.58

0.8

0.021

1650

1.17

1.1

0.58

0.8

0.018

1650

1.17

1.1

0.58

0.8

0.019

1650

1.17

1.1

0.58

0.9

0.021

1650

1.17

1.1

0.58

0.9

0.019

1650

1.17

1.15

0.58

0.9

0.021

1650

1.2

1.15

1.1

0.8

0.025

1650

2

1.15

1

0.8

0.025

1650

2

1.1

1.1

0.8

0.026

1650

2.2

1.1

1.1

0.8

0.024

1650

2.2

1.1

1.1

0.8

0.025

1650

2.2

1.15

1.1

0.8

0.024

1650

2.2

1.1

1.1

0.9

0.025

1650

2.2

1.1

1.1

0.9

0.027

1650

2.2

1.1

1.5

0.9

0.026

1650

3

1.15

1.5

0.8

0.029

1650

3

1.1

1.5

0.7

0.03

1650

3

1.1

1.5

0.75

0.028

1650

3

1.15

1.66

0.85

0.032

1650

3.33

1.1

1.5

0.8

0.033

1700

4

1.1

1.5

0.7

0.039

1650

4

1.1

1.5

0.7

0.04

1650

4

1.15

1.5

0.85

0.035

1700

12.5

1

1.5

0.7

0.056

1700

18.5

1

1.5

0.7

0.068

  1. Fit a regression model using all five regressors. Write out the equation. Summarize this analysis by providing the equation, ?2, and list the standard errors.    What does the analysis of variance indicate?
  2. Check for multicollinearity. Explain your findings.
  3. Describe what you notice about the p values for the regressors. Construct a t-test on each regression coefficient. What can you conclude about the variables in this model? Use an alpha = 0.05.
  4. Prepare a normal probability plot of the residuals and check the adequacy of the model.
  5. Repeat steps (a)-(d) except utilize stepwise regression to identify a model.

Solutions

Expert Solution

(a) The regression equation is:

Pitch = -0.0784 + 0.00004392*Temp + 0.0025*SoakTime + 0.0183*SoakPct + 0.0078*DiffTime - 0.0031*DiffPct

Source SS   df   MS F p-value
Regression 0.00419226 5   0.00083845 162.43 9.54E-19
Residual 0.00013421 26   0.00000516
Total 0.00432647 31  
Regression output confidence interval
variables coefficients std. error    t (df=26) p-value 95% lower 95% upper
Intercept -0.0784
Temp 0.00004392 0.00003627 1.211 .2369 -0.00003064 0.00011848
SoakTime 0.0025 0.00020822 11.787 6.22E-12 0.0020 0.0029
SoakPct 0.0183 0.0201 0.911 .3707 -0.0231 0.0597
DiffTime 0.0078 0.0013 5.770 4.46E-06 0.0050 0.0106
DiffPct -0.0031 0.0081 -0.389 .7003 -0.0197 0.0134

The analysis of variance indicates that the model is significant.

(b)

variables VIF
Intercept
Temp 3.167
SoakTime 3.346
SoakPct 3.186
DiffTime 2.505
DiffPct 2.748

There is no multicollinearity.

(c) The hypothesis being tested is:

H0: β1 = 0

H1: β1 ≠ 0

The p-value is 0.2369.

Since the p-value (0.2369) is greater than the significance level (0.05), we cannot reject the null hypothesis.

Therefore, we cannot conclude that β1 is significant.

The hypothesis being tested is:

H0: β2 = 0

H1: β2 ≠ 0

The p-value is 0.0000.

Since the p-value (0.0000) is less than the significance level (0.05), we can reject the null hypothesis.

Therefore, we can conclude that β2 is significant.

The hypothesis being tested is:

H0: β3 = 0

H1: β3 ≠ 0

The p-value is 0.3707.

Since the p-value (0.3707) is greater than the significance level (0.05), we cannot reject the null hypothesis.

Therefore, we cannot conclude that β3 is significant.

The hypothesis being tested is:

H0: β4 = 0

H1: β4 ≠ 0

The p-value is 0.0000.

Since the p-value (0.0000) is less than the significance level (0.05), we can reject the null hypothesis.

Therefore, we can conclude that β4 is significant.

The hypothesis being tested is:

H0: β5 = 0

H1: β5 ≠ 0

The p-value is 0.7003.

Since the p-value (0.7003) is greater than the significance level (0.05), we cannot reject the null hypothesis.

Therefore, we cannot conclude that β5 is significant.

(d) The normal probability plot of the residuals is:

The model is adequate.

(e) The regression equation is:

Pitch = 0.0109 + 0.0025*SoakTime + 0.0088*DiffTime

0.966
Adjusted R² 0.964
R   0.983
Std. Error   0.002
n   32
k   2
Dep. Var. Pitch
ANOVA table
Source SS   df   MS F p-value
Regression 0.00417950 2   0.00208975 412.35 5.02E-22
Residual 0.00014697 29   0.00000507
Total 0.00432647 31  
Regression output confidence interval
variables coefficients std. error    t (df=29) p-value 95% lower 95% upper
Intercept 0.0109
SoakTime 0.0025 0.00013299 18.516 1.31E-17 0.0022 0.0027
DiffTime 0.0088 0.0010 8.811 1.07E-09 0.0067 0.0108

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