In: Statistics and Probability
Solution:
Let X be a random variable which represents the height of men in the US (ages 20 -29)
Given that, μ = 69.5 inches and σ = 3.0 inches
We have to obtain P(x̄ > 70.5 inches). (where, x̄ is sample mean)
According to central limit theorem, if we have a population with mean μ and standard deviation σ and if we draw samples of sufficiently large size from this population then sampling distribution of sample mean follows approximately normal distribution with mean μ and standard deviation σ/√n (variance σ2/n).
i.e. x̄ ~ N(μ, σ2/n)
(Where, x̄ is sample mean and n is sample size.)
We have to obtain P(x̄ > 70.5 inches).
We know that if x̄ ~ N(μ, σ2/n) then
We have, μ = 69.5 inches, σ = 3.0 inches and n = 49
Using "pnorm" function of R we get, P(Z > 2.3333) = 0.0098
The probability that the sample height x̄ is more than 70.5 inches is 0.0098.