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In: Statistics and Probability

Question 12 A student takes an 8-question, true-false exam and guesses on each question. Find the...

Question 12

  1. A student takes an 8-question, true-false exam and guesses on each question. Find the probability of passing if the lowest passing grade is 6 correct out of 8.

    a.

    0.109

    b.

    0.227

    c.

    0.144

    d.

    0.164

  

Question 13

  1. R.H. Bruskin Associates Market Research found that 30% of Americans do not think having a college education is important to succeed in the business world. If a random sample of 5 Americans is selected, find this probability: At most three people will agree with that statement.

    a.

    0.811

    b.

    0.837

    c.

    0.499

    d.

    0.969

  

Question 14

  1. R.H. Bruskin Associates Market Research found that 30% of Americans do not think having a college education is important to succeed in the business world. If a random sample of 5 Americans is selected, find this probability: At least two people will agree with that statement.

    a.

    0.471

    b.

    0.936

    c.

    0.829

    d.

    0.811

  

Question 15

  1. In a restaurant, a study found that 25% of all patrons smoked. If the seating capacity of the restaurant is 80 people, find the variance of the number of smokers.

    a.

    3.87

    b.

    19.8

    c.

    15

    d.

    4.45

Solutions

Expert Solution

a)

A student takes an 8-question, true-false exam and guesses on each question.

Thus he have 2 choises , Probability of selecting TRUE is 0.5 and Probability of selecting FALSE is 0.5

Now we need to find probability of passing if the lowest passing grade is 6 correct out of 8.

Now Let p be probability of sucess .

Here let p be probability of selecting option TRUE

Thus p=0.5

We have 8 question , thus n = 8

It follows binomial process with n =8 and p =0.5

We need to find getting 6 correct out of 8. i.e x=6

X ~ B( n=6 , p=0.5 )

P(X=x) =

Thus required probability will be given by

P( X=6 ) =    = 28 * 0.56 * 0.52             { p=0.5 and = 28

P( X=6 ) = 0.109375

Hence required Probability is 0.109375

Thus , probability of passing if the lowest passing grade is 6 correct out of 8 0.109

Correct option a) 0.109

b)

let p be probability of succes

30% of Americans do not think having a college education is important to succeed in the business world .

Then p =0.30

Random sample of 5 Americans is selected, hence n=5

We need to find this probability: At most three people will agree with that statement.

Thus we need to find probabilty than 3 or less than 3 people will agree with that statement.

Here X ~ B( n =5 , p=0.3)

P(X=x) =

Thus required probability will be given by

P( X 3 ) = P( X = 0 ) + P( X = 1 ) + P( X = 2 ) + P( X = 3 )

             =    + + +   

                 = 0.16807 + 0.36015 + 0.3087 + 0.1323

P( X 3 ) = 0.96922

Hence required Probability is 0.96922

Thus Probability that At most three people will agree with that statement is 0.96922

Correct option d) 0.969

c)

This time p =0.3 , n =5

We need to find probability: At least two people will agree with that statement.

Thus this time we need to find probabilty than 2 or more than 2 people will agree with that statement.

Here X ~ B( n =5 , p=0.3)

P(X=x) =

We need to find

P( X 2) = 1 - P( X < 2 )

Now , 1 - P( X < 2 ) = 1 - P( X = 0 ) - P( X = 1 )

                                    = 1 -    -

                                    = 1 - 0.16807 - 0.36015

            1 - P( X < 2 ) = 0.47178

Hence , P( X 2) = 1 - P( X < 2 ) = 0.47178

P( X 2) = 0.47178

Hence required Probability is 0.47178

Thus Probability that At least two people will agree with that statement. is 0.47178

Correct option a) 0.471

d)

In a restaurant, a study found that 25% of all patrons smoked.

let p be probability of smokers , thus p=0.25

Seating capacity of the restaurant is 80 people , thus n=80

Need to find the variance of the number of smokers

For these case X ~ B( n =80 , p =0.25 )

Variance is gven by

Var(X) = n * p * ( 1-p )

Var(X) = 80 * 0.25 * 0.75 = 15

Var(X) = 15

Hence , the variance of the number of smokers is 15

Correct option is c) 15


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