Question

In: Statistics and Probability

A researcher followed a cohort for 10 years after the Aliso canyon gas spill. The researcher...

A researcher followed a cohort for 10 years after the Aliso canyon gas spill. The researcher interviewed 290 residents. 140 residents lived within a 2 mile radius of the leak and were classified as exposed and 150 residents lived more than 5 miles away and were considered unexposed. In total 120 of the 140 residents exposed to the gas developed respiratory problems and 10 of the 150 not exposed to the gas developed respiratory problems.

Respiratory

Problems

No Respiratory

Problems

Total

Exposed to Gas

Not Exposed to Gas

Total

Question

Answer

1. What was the incidence of Respiratory

Problems per 1000 in the exposed group?

Interpretation 1:

2. What was the incidence of Respiratory

Problems per 1000 in the un-exposed group?

Interpretation 2:

3. Calculate a relative risk or risk ratio for this study and interpret this number.

Interpretation 3:

4. Calculate the Attributable Risk Percent/ Etiologic Fraction Percent and interpret this number.

Interpretation 4:

Solutions

Expert Solution

Result:

A researcher followed a cohort for 10 years after the Aliso canyon gas spill. The researcher interviewed 290 residents. 140 residents lived within a 2 mile radius of the leak and were classified as exposed and 150 residents lived more than 5 miles away and were considered unexposed. In total 120 of the 140 residents exposed to the gas developed respiratory problems and 10 of the 150 not exposed to the gas developed respiratory problems.

Respiratory

Problems

No Respiratory

Problems

Total

Exposed to Gas

120

20

140

Not Exposed to Gas

10

140

150

Total

130

160

290

Question

Answer

1. What was the incidence of Respiratory Problems per 1000 in the exposed group?

(120/140)*1000

857.143

Interpretation 1: 857 out of 1000 residents developed Respiratory Problems who exposed to Gas.

2. What was the incidence of Respiratory Problems per 1000 in the un-exposed group?

(10/150)*1000

66.6667

Interpretation 2: 67 out of 1000 residents developed Respiratory Problems who not exposed to Gas.

3. Calculate a relative risk or risk ratio for this study and interpret this number.

RR = (120/140)/(10/150)

12.8571

Interpretation 3: residents exposed to the gas are 12.9 times more likely to develop respiratory problems than not exposed to gas.

4. Calculate the Attributable Risk Percent/ Etiologic Fraction Percent and interpret this number. ((120/140)-(10/150))*100

79.05

Interpretation 4: This means 79.05% of respiratory problems are caused by exposed to the gas.


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