In: Statistics and Probability
The manager of a firm announced: “The lightbulbs produced by our firm have a mean lifetime of 2,500 hours, with a standard deviation of 250 hours; thus, it follows that approximately 95 percent of our lightbulbs last between 2000 and 3,000 hours.”
What was the manager assuming?
What if the assumption did not hold – what percentage of the lightbulbs could you expect would last between 2,000 and 3,000 hours?
Solution:
Given that,
= 2500
= 250
p ( 2000 < x < 3000 )
= p( 2000 - 2500 / 250 ) ( x - / ) < ( 3000 - 2500 / 250)
= p ( - 500 / 250 < z < 500 /250 )
= p ( - 2 < z < 2)
= p (z < 2 ) - p ( z < - .2 )
Using z table
= 0.9772 - 0.0228
= 0.9544
Probability = 0.9544 = 95.44%