In: Statistics and Probability
According to the article "A Critical Appraisal of 98.6 Degrees
F, the Upper Limit of the Normal Body Temperature, and Other
Legacies of Carl Reinhold August Wunderlich" published in the
Journal of the American Medical Association, the body temperatures
of adults are normally distributed with a mean of 98.242 and a
standard deviation of 0.713.
1) What is the probability that a randomly selected person's
body temperature is between 97.9 and 98.51? Round your answer to 4
decimal places.
2) What is the probability that the average body temperature of 4
randomly selected people is between 97.9 and 98.51? Round your
answer to 4 decimal places.
3) Why did the probability increase?
Solution :
Given that ,
mean = = 98.242
standard deviation = = 0.713
1)P( 97.9< x < 98.51 ) = P[(97.9 -98.242)/0.713 ) < (x - ) / < (98.51 - 98.242) /0.713 ) ]
= P( -0.48< z < 0.38)
= P(z < 0.38) - P(z < -0.48 )
Using standard normal table
= 0.648 - 0.3156= 0.3324
Probability = 0.3324
2)
n = 4
= = 98.242
= / n = 0.713 / 4 = 0.3565
P(97.9< < 98.51 )
= P[(97.9 - 98.242) /0.3565 < ( - ) / < (98.51 - 98.242) /0.3565 )]
= P( -0.96< Z < 0.75 )
= P(Z < 0.75 ) - P(Z <-0.96 )
= 0.7734 - 0.1685 = 0.6049
probability = 0.6049
c) The probability increased since the sample size increased resulting in a narrower distribution which increased the chances of being in an interval containing the mean.