Question

In: Statistics and Probability

The data in the attached excel file comes from Consumer Reports and was collected over a...

The data in the attached excel file comes from Consumer Reports and was collected over a two-year period. It gives the average mpg over a 195-mile trip, the weight of the vehicle (pounds), engine displacement (liters), number of cylinders, horsepower, type of transmission (0 = manual, 1 = automatic), the number of gears and whether the car was foreign (1) or domestic (0).

Part a: Build a model for predicting the average mpg based on the data in the attached excel spread sheet. Show and annotate your work in the excel spread sheet. Include an interpretation of the final model.

Part b: Using your final model from part a, construct an interval estimate of the average mpg of a vehicle which weighs 3000 pounds, with an engine displacement of 2.5 liters, 4 cylinders, 150 hp, manual transmission, 5 gears and is a domestic car. Explain what this means.

CASE TRIP MPG WEIGHT DISPLACE NO CYL HP TRANS GEARS FOR/DORM
1 32 2365 1.6 4 113 0 5 1
2 33 2430 1.6 4 108 0 5 1
3 42 1895 1.3 4 60 0 4 1
4 36 2320 1.6 4 74 1 3 0
5 32 2330 1.6 4 82 1 3 1
6 34 2255 1.5 4 68 1 3 1
7 36 2350 1.6 4 74 1 3 1
8 41 1635 1.3 4 58 0 4 1
9 36 2070 1.6 4 82 0 4 1
10 34 2115 1.5 4 68 0 4 1
11 35 1840 1.1 4 52 0 4 1
12 43 1970 1.5 4 78

0

4 1
13 51 1575 1.0 3 48 0 5 1
14 37 2185

1.5

4 68 0 4 1
15 36 2115 1.8 4 81 0 4 1
16 28 3040 2.2 4 145 1 4 1
17 34 2620 2.0 4 108 1 3 1
18 25 3230 3.0 6 142 1 4 1
19 29 2745 2.0 4 102 1 4 1
20 28 2573 1.9 4 110 1 4 1
21 27 2802 2.3 4 100 1 3 0
22 31 2699 2.0 4 90 1 3 0
23 36 2695 2.2 4 110 0 5 0
24 31 2885 2.5 4 100 0 5 0
25 23 3310 5.0 8 225 1 4 0
26 23 3430 5.0 8 170 1 4 0
27 29 2670 2.2 4 97 1 3 0
28 35 2925 2.0 4 115 1 4 1
29 28 2735 2.5 4 98 1 3 0
30 29 3155 3.0 6 140 1 4 0
31 30 2995 3.0 6 150 1 4 0
32 27 3150 3.0 6 136 1 3 0
33 29 2950 2.8 6 125 1 3 0
34 26 3295 3.8 6 140 1 4 0
35 28 2915 2.5 4 100 1 3 0
36 29 3220 2.8 6 125 1 4 0
37 26 2900 2.2 4 146 1 3 0
38 27 3205 2.5 4 153 1 4 1
39 26 2930 2.2 4 103 1 3 0
40 25 3320 3.0 6 157 1 4 1
41 26 3080 2.3 4 114 1 4 1
42 24 3625 3.0 6 136 1 3 0
43 23 3665 3.0 6 145 1 4 0
44 22 3625 2.4 4 106 1 4 1
45 23 3415 2.4 4 107 1 4 1

Solutions

Expert Solution

using excel>data>data analysis>Regression

we have

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.916998
R Square 0.840885
Adjusted R Square 0.810783
Standard Error 2.665201
Observations 45
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 7 1388.956 198.4222 27.93382 6.28E-13
Residual 37 262.8221 7.103299
Total 44 1651.778
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 47.63431 4.710892 10.11153 3.39E-12 38.08914 57.17948
WEIGHT -0.00951 0.001707 -5.56943 2.4E-06 -0.01296 -0.00605
DISPLACE -1.68525 1.631644 -1.03286 0.308375 -4.99128 1.62077
NO CYL 1.000934 0.835687 1.197738 0.238636 -0.69233 2.694198
HP -0.02358 0.027863 -0.84642 0.40276 -0.08004 0.032872
TRANS 2.091025 2.04431 1.022851 0.313019 -2.05114 6.23319
GEARS 2.743086 1.128762 2.430173 0.02006 0.455998 5.030174
FOR/DORM -1.5362 1.106093 -1.38885 0.173181 -3.77736 0.704956

a ) the regression model is  

mpg = 47.634-0.0095*weight - 1.685*displacement +1 *Nocyl-0.0236 *HP+2.0910*TRANS +2.743 GEARS-1.5362*FOR/DORM

since p value of f stat is less than 0.05 so the model is significant to use

b ) weighs 3000 pounds, with an engine displacement of 2.5 liters, 4 cylinders, 150 hp, manual transmission(=0), 5 gears and is a domestic car

mpg =47.634-0.0095*3000 - 1.685*2.5 +1 *4-0.0236 *150+2.0910*0 +2.743*5-1.5362*1 =27.56

an interval estimate of the average mpg of a vehicle which weighs 3000 pounds, with an engine displacement of 2.5 liters, 4 cylinders, 150 hp, manual transmission, 5 gears and is a domestic car. is 27.56


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