In: Statistics and Probability
For this problem, carry at least four digits after the decimal
in your calculations. Answers may vary slightly due to
rounding.
Santa Fe black-on-white is a type of pottery commonly found at
archaeological excavations at a certain monument. At one excavation
site a sample of 578 potsherds was found, of which 360 were
identified as Santa Fe black-on-white.
(a) Let p represent the proportion of Santa Fe
black-on-white potsherds at the excavation site. Find a point
estimate for p. (Round your answer to four decimal
places.)
(b) Find a 95% confidence interval for p. (Round your
answers to three decimal places.)
Lower Limit =
Upper Limit =
Solution :
Given that,
n = 578
x = 360
a) Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 360 / 578 = 0.6228
1 - = 1 -0.623 = 0.3772
b) At 95% confidence level
= 1-0.95% =1-0.95 =0.05
/2
=0.05/ 2= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.960
Z/2 = 1.960
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.960 * ((0.6228*(0.3772) /578 )
= 0.040
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.623 -0.040 < p < 0.623+0.040
0.583 < p < 0.663
( 0.583 ,0.663 )
Lower Limit =0.583
Upper Limit =0.663