Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Morris Polling conducted a poll 6 months before an election in a state in which a...

Morris Polling conducted a poll 6 months before an election in a state in which a Democrat and a Republican were running for governor and found that 60% of the voters intended to vote for the Republican and 40% intended to vote for the Democrat. A poll conducted 3 months later found that 70% of those who had earlier stated a preference for the Republican candidate still maintained that preference, whereas 30% of these voters now preferred the Democratic candidate. Of those who had earlier stated a preference for the Democrat, 80% still maintained that preference, whereas 20% now preferred the Republican candidate.

(a)

If the election were held at this time, who would win? (pick one)

1. The Democrat would win.

2. The Republican would win.    

3. There would be a tie.

(b)

Assuming that this trend continues, which candidate is expected to win the election? (Pick one)

1. The Democrat would win.

2. The Republican would win.  

3. There would be a tie.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Solution

a)

Hence option 3

b)

Option A

orchestra answered 1 year ago
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