In: Statistics and Probability
Assume that Thailand's government reports its population mean
disposable
household income is $900 per month, with a standard deviation of
$100. Indonesia's population mean is $1,000, with a standard
deviation of $300.
a. Which country has more variation in income? Explain using
popular phrases,
such as “gap between rich and poor.”
b. Each country defines the poverty level to be $750. If you
assume that income
has a normal distribution, find the probability that a household’s
income is below
the poverty level in
i. Thailand
ii.Indonesia
c. Based on answer b, Does it seem reasonable to assume a normal
distribution? Is income symmetric
or skewed?
Part a
Here, we have to use the coefficient of variations for the comparison of variation in incomes in two countries Thailand and Indonesia.
Coefficient of variation = CV = SD / Mean
For Thailand, mean and standard deviation for income ($) are given as below:
Mean = 900, SD = 100
CV = 100/900 = 1/9 = 0.11 or 11%
For Indonesia, mean and standard deviation for income ($) are given as below:
Mean = 1000, SD = 300
CV = 300/1000 = 3/10 = 0.30 or 30%
CV of Indonesia is 30% and CV for Thailand is 11%. This means Indonesia have more variation in income than Thailand.
This means, there is more gap between the rich and poor people in Indonesia as compared to Thailand.
Part b
Here, we have to find P(X<750) for both countries.
Z = (X – mean)/SD
i) Thailand
Mean = 900, SD = 100
Z = (750 – 900) / 100
Z = -1.5
P(Z< -1.5) = 0.066807201 (by using z-table or excel)
Required Probability = 0.066807201
ii) Indonesia
Mean = 1000, SD = 300
Z = (750 – 1000) / 300
Z = -0.833333333
P(Z< -0.833333333) = 0.202328381 (by using z-table or excel)
Required probability = 0.202328381
Part c
It does not seem reasonable to assume a normal distribution because there is a significant difference between the above two probabilities. Also, distribution of income is skewed because there are two different tail probabilities for the same poverty level of $750.