Question

In: Statistics and Probability

You are considering three investment alternatives for some spare cash: Old Reliable Corporation stock (A1), Fly-By-Nite...

You are considering three investment alternatives for some spare cash: Old Reliable

Corporation stock (A1), Fly-By-Nite Air Cargo Company stock (A2), and a federally insured

savings certificate (A3). You expect the economy will either “boom” (N1) or “bust” (N2), and

you estimate that a boom is more likely (p1 = 0.6) than a bust (p2 = 0.4). Outcomes for

the three alternatives are expected to be (1) $2,000 in boom or $500 in bust for Old Reliable

Corporation; (2) $6,000 in boom, but –$5,000 (loss) in bust for Fly-By-Nite; and (3) $1,200

THE QUESTION IS

5.7 If you have no idea of the economic probabilities pj in Question 5-6, what would be your

decision based on uncertainty using (a) maximax, (b) maximin, (c) equally likely, and (d)

minimax regret assumptions?

Solutions

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