Question

In: Finance

There are three columns of data: a monthly date, a closing price for an individual stock,...

  1. There are three columns of data: a monthly date, a closing price for an individual stock, and the market close.
    1. Calculate a monthly return series from the closing monthly prices of both the market and the individual security.
    2. Calculate the arithmetic mean return and the standard deviation of the monthly return for both series.
    3. Calculate the geometric mean return for both series.
    4. Calculate the beta of the individual security.

Date   Closing Price   Market Closing Price   Security Return   Market Return
12/1/2003   43.73   1111.92      
1/1/2004   42.43   1131.13      
2/1/2004   43.05   1144.94      
3/1/2004   43.56   1126.21      
4/1/2004   43.8   1107.3      
5/1/2004   44.47   1120.68      
6/1/2004   43.93   1140.84      
7/1/2004   38.17   1101.72      
8/1/2004   38.91   1104.24      
9/1/2004   35.06   1114.58      
10/1/2004   35.59   1130.2      
11/1/2004   34.63   1173.82      
12/1/2004   36.68   1211.92      
1/1/2005   36.55   1181.27      
2/1/2005   37.7   1203.6      
3/1/2005   36.95   1180.59      
4/1/2005   38.52   1156.85      
5/1/2005   39.57   1191.5      
6/1/2005   37.26   1191.33      
7/1/2005   39.05   1234.18      
8/1/2005   39.26   1220.33      
9/1/2005   38.79   1228.81      
10/1/2005   38.42   1207.01      
11/1/2005   38.59   1249.48      
12/1/2005   36.44   1248.29      
1/1/2006   37.41   1280.08      
2/1/2006   37.94   1280.66      
3/1/2006   38.13   1294.87      
4/1/2006   38.21   1310.61      
5/1/2006   40.09   1270.09      
6/1/2006   39.46   1270.2      
7/1/2006   40.81   1276.66      
8/1/2006   41.1   1303.82      
9/1/2006   41.26   1335.85      
10/1/2006   43.15   1377.94      
11/1/2006   43.54   1400.63      
12/1/2006   44.86   1418.3      
1/1/2007   44.51   1438.24      
2/1/2007   43.4   1406.82      
3/1/2007   44.94   1420.86      
4/1/2007   48.87   1482.37      
5/1/2007   49.62   1530.62      
6/1/2007   49.31   1503.35      
7/1/2007   49.12   1455.27      
8/1/2007   50.69   1473.99      
9/1/2007   54.5   1526.75      
10/1/2007   58.57   1549.38      
11/1/2007   59.22   1481.14      
12/1/2007   58.52   1468.36      
1/1/2008   56.26   1378.55      
2/1/2008   55.74   1330.63      
3/1/2008   58.42   1322.7      
4/1/2008   56.5   1385.59      
5/1/2008   54.95   1400.38      
6/1/2008   50.21   1280      
7/1/2008   49.75   1267.38      
8/1/2008   50.3   1282.83      
9/1/2008   51.45   1164.74      
10/1/2008   42.86   968.75      
11/1/2008   45.99   896.24      
12/1/2008   44.42   903.25      
              
Arithmetic mean              
Geometric mean               
Standard deviation              
              
Covariance              
Beta              

Solutions

Expert Solution

Calculate the Security return and Market returns from 01-01-2004
Formula for Monthly Returns =(P2/P1-1)*100 P2= Price of current months
P1= Price of Previous month
Date Security Closing Price Market Closing Price Security Return Market Return
12-01-2003 43.73 1111.92 NA NA
01-01-2004 42.43 1131.13 -2.97% 1.73%
02-01-2004 43.05 1144.94 1.46% 1.22%
03-01-2004 43.56 1126.21 1.18% -1.64%
04-01-2004 43.8 1107.3 0.55% -1.68%
05-01-2004 44.47 1120.68 1.53% 1.21%
06-01-2004 43.93 1140.84 -1.21% 1.80%
07-01-2004 38.17 1101.72 -13.11% -3.43%
08-01-2004 38.91 1104.24 1.94% 0.23%
09-01-2004 35.06 1114.58 -9.89% 0.94%
10-01-2004 35.59 1130.2 1.51% 1.40%
11-01-2004 34.63 1173.82 -2.70% 3.86%
12-01-2004 36.68 1211.92 5.92% 3.25%
01-01-2005 36.55 1181.27 -0.35% -2.53%
02-01-2005 37.7 1203.6 3.15% 1.89%
03-01-2005 36.95 1180.59 -1.99% -1.91%
04-01-2005 38.52 1156.85 4.25% -2.01%
05-01-2005 39.57 1191.5 2.73% 3.00%
06-01-2005 37.26 1191.33 -5.84% -0.01%
07-01-2005 39.05 1234.18 4.80% 3.60%
08-01-2005 39.26 1220.33 0.54% -1.12%
09-01-2005 38.79 1228.81 -1.20% 0.69%
10-01-2005 38.42 1207.01 -0.95% -1.77%
11-01-2005 38.59 1249.48 0.44% 3.52%
12-01-2005 36.44 1248.29 -5.57% -0.10%
01-01-2006 37.41 1280.08 2.66% 2.55%
02-01-2006 37.94 1280.66 1.42% 0.05%
03-01-2006 38.13 1294.87 0.50% 1.11%
04-01-2006 38.21 1310.61 0.21% 1.22%
05-01-2006 40.09 1270.09 4.92% -3.09%
06-01-2006 39.46 1270.2 -1.57% 0.01%
07-01-2006 40.81 1276.66 3.42% 0.51%
08-01-2006 41.1 1303.82 0.71% 2.13%
09-01-2006 41.26 1335.85 0.39% 2.46%
10-01-2006 43.15 1377.94 4.58% 3.15%
11-01-2006 43.54 1400.63 0.90% 1.65%
12-01-2006 44.86 1418.3 3.03% 1.26%
01-01-2007 44.51 1438.24 -0.78% 1.41%
02-01-2007 43.4 1406.82 -2.49% -2.18%
03-01-2007 44.94 1420.86 3.55% 1.00%
04-01-2007 48.87 1482.37 8.74% 4.33%
05-01-2007 49.62 1530.62 1.53% 3.25%
06-01-2007 49.31 1503.35 -0.62% -1.78%
07-01-2007 49.12 1455.27 -0.39% -3.20%
08-01-2007 50.69 1473.99 3.20% 1.29%
09-01-2007 54.5 1526.75 7.52% 3.58%
10-01-2007 58.57 1549.38 7.47% 1.48%
11-01-2007 59.22 1481.14 1.11% -4.40%
12-01-2007 58.52 1468.36 -1.18% -0.86%
01-01-2008 56.26 1378.55 -3.86% -6.12%
02-01-2008 55.74 1330.63 -0.92% -3.48%
03-01-2008 58.42 1322.7 4.81% -0.60%
04-01-2008 56.5 1385.59 -3.29% 4.75%
05-01-2008 54.95 1400.38 -2.74% 1.07%
06-01-2008 50.21 1280 -8.63% -8.60%
07-01-2008 49.75 1267.38 -0.92% -0.99%
08-01-2008 50.3 1282.83 1.11% 1.22%
09-01-2008 51.45 1164.74 2.29% -9.21%
10-01-2008 42.86 968.75 -16.70% -16.83%
11-01-2008 45.99 896.24 7.30% -7.48%
12-01-2008 44.42 903.25 -3.41% 0.78%

Now formulae for Arithmatic mean (AM) and standard deviation:

In Excel Sheet

Arithmatic Mean Value Formula in excel
Return of Security, Rs 0.13% =Average(number1, number2,…)
Standard deviation, ss 0.046 =STDEV.S(number1, number2,…)
Standard deviation, Rm -0.27% =Average(number1, number2,…)
Standard deviation, sm 0.037 =STDEV.S(number1, number2,…)
Geometric mean of Security =PRODUCT(Return1, Return2,……..Return n)^(1/COUNT(Return1, Return2,……..Return n))
As, Product of security return= -8.573E-102 (-ve)value
No of returns= 60
Geomeric mean can not be calculated for negative product
Geometric mean of Market =PRODUCT(Return1, Return2,……..Return n)^(1/COUNT(Return1, Return2,……..Return n))
Product of Market return= 4.709E-99
No of returns= 60
GM 0.023

Now for calculation of beta formula is :

In Excel; CoVariance=COVARIANCE.S(arrey1,arrey2) (arrey1 for stock returns and arrey 2 for market returns)

CoVariance=0.000788

Variance=COVARIANCE.S(arrey2,arrey2) (both arreys for market returns)

Variance= 0.001377

Beta of stock=0.000788/0.001377= 0.57


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