In: Statistics and Probability
Compute ?(?) for the following random variable ?:
?=Number of tosses until all 10 numbers are seen (including the last toss) by tossing a fair 10-sided die. |
To answer this, we will use induction and follow the steps below:
Let ?(?) be the expected number of additional tosses until all 10 numbers are seen (including the last toss) given ? distinct numbers have already been seen.
1. Find ?(10).
?(10)=?
2.
Write down a relation between ?(?) and ?(?+1). Answer by finding the function ?(?) in the formula below.
For ?=0,1,…,9:
?(?)=?(?+1)+?(?) |
where ?(?)=?
3
Finally, using the results above, find ?[?].
(Enter an answer accurate to at least 1 decimal place.)
?[?] = ?
1.
E(10) = Expected number of additional tosses until all 10 numbers are seen given 10 distinct numbers have already been seen = 0
2.
f(i) = E(i) - E(i+1) = Expected number of additional tosses until all 10 numbers are seen given i distinct numbers have already been seen - Expected number of additional tosses until all 10 numbers are seen given i+1 distinct numbers have already been seen
= Expected number of additional tosses to get the next (i+1)th distinct number given i distinct numbers have already been seen
When i distinct numbers have already been seen, remaining distinct numbers = 10 - i
Probability to find next distinct number = (10 - i) / 10
Let X be the number of trails to get the next (i+1)th distinct number. Then X ~ Geom(p = (10 - i) / 10)
E(X) = 1/p = 10/(10-i)
Thus,
f(i) = Expected number of additional tosses to get the next (i+1)th distinct number given i distinct numbers have already been seen = 10/(10-i)
3.
E[X] = E[0] = E[1] + f(0)
= E[2] + f(1) + f(0)
= E[3] + f(2) + f(1) + f(0)
.....
= E[10] + f(9) + .... + f(1) + f(0)
= 0 + f(9) + f(8) + ... + f(1) + f(0)