In: Economics
You want to invest your $6000 in a financial asset. In 2020, one-year US bonds pay an interest of 3% while one-year Brazilian bonds pay an interest of 7%. Current exchange rate, E2020, is 3.7 ($1 = 3.7 BRL). Calculate the expected return on investing in US and Brazilian bonds and make your investment decision for the following expected exchange rates (20 points):
a)
If the investment is made US bonds, expected return=3%
Now assume investment is made in Brazilian bond,
Investment amount=6000*Exchange rate in 2020=6000*3.70=22200 BRL
Accumulation after 1 year=22200*(1+7%)=23754 BRL
If this accumulated to US $ at a exchange rate of 3.2 BRL/$
Converted amount in US$=23754/3.2 =$7423.125
Expected rate of return (if investment is made in brazil bonds)
=(7423.125-6000)/6000=23.72%
b)
If the investment is made US bonds, expected return=3%
Now assume investment is made in Brazilian bond,
Investment amount=6000*Exchange rate in 2020=6000*3.70=22200 BRL
Accumulation after 1 year=22200*(1+7%)=23754 BRL
If this accumulated to US $ at a exchange rate of 4 BRL/$
Converted amount in US$=23754/4 =$5938.50
Expected rate of return (if investment is made in brazil bonds)
=(5938.50-6000)/6000=-1.03%