1.How can we discern positive and negative correlation in a time
series plot?
A.
In a positive correlation, you will look for the two different
time series to have the same maximum heights above the trend. In a
negative correlation, you will look for the two different times
series to have the same minimum heights.
B.
Two time series are positively correlated when one series is
high (low) and the other series is low (high). Two time series
that are...
Consider the following time series data.
Quarter
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
1
4
6
7
2
2
3
6
3
3
5
6
4
5
7
8
Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?
The time series plot indicates a linear trend and a seasonal pattern
Show the four-quarter and centered moving average values for this time series.
Compute seasonal indexes and adjusted seasonal indexes for the four quarters.
Consider a regression model of monthly
time series data where we model the price of petrol which is
dependent on the Crude Oil price and Exchange rate (against US$).
Data for the three variables were collected over a 50 month period.
Suppose the estimation results showed that the Durbin-Watson (DW)
test value d is 1.38. Perform the DW test for first order positive
autocorrelation of the error terms at the 5% level of
significance.
Model: et = r...
A time series model is a forecasting technique that attempts to
predict the future values of a variable by using only historical
data on that one variable. Here are some examples of variables you
can use to forecast. You may use a different source other than the
ones listed (be sure to reference the website). There are many
other variables you can use, as long as you have values that are
recorded at successive intervals of time.
Currency price
GNP...
Consider the following time series data.
Quarter
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
1
4
6
7
2
0
1
4
3
3
5
6
4
5
7
8
(a) Create the correct time series plot. Which type of pattern
exists in the data?
(b) Use a multiple regression model with dummy variables as
follows to develop an equation to account for seasonal effects in
the data. Qtr1 = 1 if Quarter 1, 0 otherwise; Qtr2 = 1 if Quarter...
7.
Construct a time series plot. Comment on what type of pattern
exists in the data.
Use a regression model with dummy variables as follow to
explain sales: Qtr1 = 1 if quarter 1, 0 otherwise; Qtr2 = 1 if
quarter 2, 0 otherwise; Qtr3 = 1 if quarter 3, 0 otherwise. Write
out the model that you’ve estimated in equation form using the
values of your estimates. Explain, in a sentence or two, what this
model tells us.
Use...