In: Statistics and Probability
Never forget that even small effects can be statistically significant if the samples are large. To illustrate this fact, consider a sample of 76 small businesses. During a three-year period, 8 of the 59 headed by men and 3 of the 17 headed by women failed. (Below are some of the correct answers, the ones that are blank were wrong from the previous chegg account)
(a) Find the proportions of failures for businesses headed by
women and businesses headed by men. These sample proportions are
quite close to each other. Give the P-value for the test of the
hypothesis that the same proportion of women's and men's businesses
fail. (Use the two-sided alternative). What can we conclude (Use
α=0.05α=0.05)?
The P-value was ___ so we conclude that
The test showed no significant difference.
(b) Now suppose that the same sample proportion came from a
sample 30 times as large. That is, 90 out of 510 businesses headed
by women and 240 out of 1770 businesses headed by men fail. Verify
that the proportions of failures are exactly the same as in part
(a). Repeat the test for the new data. What can we conclude?
The P-value was ___ so we conclude that
The test showed strong evidence of a significant difference
(c) It is wise to use a confidence interval to estimate the size
of an effect rather than just giving a P-value. Give 95% confidence
intervals for the difference between proportions of men's and
women's businesses (men minus women) that fail for the settings of
both (a) and (b). (Be sure to check that the conditions are met. If
the conditions aren't met for one of the intervals, use the same
type of interval for both)
Interval for smaller samples: to
Interval for larger samples: -0.0756 to -0.0062
What is the effect of larger samples on the confidence interval?
The confidence interval's margin of error is reduced.