Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Based on historical data, your manager believes that 31% of the company's orders come from first-time...

Based on historical data, your manager believes that 31% of the company's orders come from first-time customers. A random sample of 187 orders will be used to estimate the proportion of first-time-customers. What is the probability that the sample proportion is greater than than 0.23?

Solutions

Expert Solution

Solution:

Given that,

n = 487

=31% =0.31

1 - = 1 - 0.31 = 0.69

=   = 0.31

= ( 1 - ) / n

=   0.31 * 0.69 / 187

= 0.0338

= 0.0338

P(   > 0.23 )

= 1 - P (   < 0.23 )

= 1 - P ( -    / ) < ( 0.23 - 031 / 0.0338 )

= 1 - P ( z < -0.08 / 0.0338 )

= 1 - P ( z < -2.37 )

Using z table

= 1 - 0.0089

= 0.9911

Probability = 0.9911


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