In: Statistics and Probability
A new Mexican restaurant concept is being market tested. One hundred consumers who had visited the restaurant were surveyed and asked whether they would give the restaurant 5 stars. The responses were collected, as shown below:
Response |
Frequency |
|
5 stars |
60 |
|
Less than 5 stars |
40 |
|
100 |
PART 1: What would be the point estimate for the proportion of
people who will give the restaurant 5 stars (to 2 decimal
places)?
PART 2: What would be the margin of error for a 95% confidence
interval estimate for the proportion of people who will give the
restaurant 5 stars (to 3 decimal places)?
PART 3: What would be the LOW END for the 95% confidence
interval estimate for the proportion of people who will give the
restaurant 5 stars (to 3 decimal places)? (In other words, if the
interval estimate is between a and b, what is the
value of a?)
PART 4: What would be the HIGH END for the 95% confidence
interval estimate for the proportion of people who will give the
restaurant 5 stars (to 3 decimal places)? (In other words, if the
interval estimate is between a and b, what is the
value of b?)
PART 5: With a 0.95 probability, what sample size needs to be collected, to provide a margin of error of 0.08 or less?
1)
Solution
sample proportion, = 0.6
2)
sample size, n = 100
Standard error, SE = sqrt(pcap * (1 - pcap)/n)
SE = sqrt(0.6 * (1 - 0.6)/100) = 0.049
Given CI level is 95%, hence α = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
α/2 = 0.05/2 = 0.025, Zc = Z(α/2) = 1.96
Margin of Error, ME = zc * SE
ME = 1.96 * 0.049
ME = 0.096
3)
CI = (pcap - z*SE, pcap + z*SE)
CI = (0.6 - 1.96 * 0.049 , 0.6 + 1.96 * 0.049)
CI = (0.504 , 0.696)
low end = 0.504
4)
High end = 0.696
5)
The following information is provided,
Significance Level, α = 0.05, Margin of Error, E = 0.08
The provided estimate of proportion p is, p = 0.6
The critical value for significance level, α = 0.05 is 1.96.
The following formula is used to compute the minimum sample size
required to estimate the population proportion p within the
required margin of error:
n >= p*(1-p)*(zc/E)^2
n = 0.6*(1 - 0.6)*(1.96/0.08)^2
n = 144.06
Therefore, the sample size needed to satisfy the condition n
>= 144.06 and it must be an integer number, we conclude that the
minimum required sample size is n = 145
Ans : Sample size, n = 145 or 144